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Data Sheet2 Sheet3 Per Share Qtr. Earnings Current Previous Company ADVO Alaska

ID: 3353955 • Letter: D

Question

Data Sheet2 Sheet3 Per Share Qtr. Earnings Current Previous Company ADVO Alaska Air Amgen AT&T; Becton Dickinson Brunswick Conexant Dow Jones First Data Franklin Resources Gentex Honeywell .26 1.66 0,53 0.21 0.75 0.59 0.26 0.43 0,56 1.15 0.46 0.9 0.52 1.21 0.19 0.18 0.76 LSI Logic Lockheed Martin MarineMax Merchants Bncshrs NCR Newell Rubbermaid Novellus Systems Pantry Inc Qualcomm Suncor Energy United Parce Washington Trust 0.53 -0.51 0.83 0.17 0.51 0.68 0.45 0.27 1.29 0.17 .45 0.3 0.72 0.76 0.4 1.48

Explanation / Answer

Since the earnings are for the same stock a paired t-test most appropriate.

Back-up Theory

Let X = earnings per share for previous quarter

      Y = earnings per share for current quarter

And D = Y – X.

Then, D ~ N(µ, 2) where 2 is unknown.

Claim:

There is no difference between the earnings per share for the two quarters

Hypotheses:

Null: H0: µ = µ0= 0 Vs Alternative: HA: µ 0

Test Statistic:

t = (n) (Dbar - µ0)/s where

Dbar and s are respectively, sample average and sample standard deviation based on n observations on X and Y.

Calculations

Summary of Excel calculations is given below:

i

xi

yi

di

1

0.26

0.38

0.12

2

-1.66

-1.15

0.51

3

0.53

0.66

0.13

4

0.21

0.46

0.25

5

0.75

0.85

0.1

6

0.59

0.9

0.31

7

-0.26

-0.05

0.21

8

0.43

0.49

0.06

9

0.56

0.52

-0.04

10

0.92

1.21

0.29

11

0.18

0.19

0.01

12

0.3

0.62

0.32

13

0.53

0.76

0.23

14

-0.51

0.09

0.6

15

0.83

1.29

0.46

16

0.17

0.04

-0.13

17

0.51

0.46

-0.05

18

0.68

0.81

0.13

19

0.45

0.28

-0.17

20

0.27

0.17

-0.1

21

0.59

1.45

0.86

22

0.3

0.36

0.06

23

0.72

1.48

0.76

24

0.76

0.95

0.19

25

0.4

0.45

0.05

n =

25

dbar

0.2064

s(d)

0.26536

µ0

0

tcal

3.889

Rejection Region

tcrit = upper 2.5% of t24 = 2.064

p-value = P(|t24| > tcal) = 0.000697

Reject H0 if tcal > tcrit or p-value < 0.025.

Decision

Since tcal (3.889) > tcrit (2.064), H0 is rejected, which is once again confirmed by p-value (0.000697) < 0.05 (level of significance).

So, there is enough evidence to suggest that there is significant difference between the average earnings per share for the two quarters. ANSWER

i

xi

yi

di

1

0.26

0.38

0.12

2

-1.66

-1.15

0.51

3

0.53

0.66

0.13

4

0.21

0.46

0.25

5

0.75

0.85

0.1

6

0.59

0.9

0.31

7

-0.26

-0.05

0.21

8

0.43

0.49

0.06

9

0.56

0.52

-0.04

10

0.92

1.21

0.29

11

0.18

0.19

0.01

12

0.3

0.62

0.32

13

0.53

0.76

0.23

14

-0.51

0.09

0.6

15

0.83

1.29

0.46

16

0.17

0.04

-0.13

17

0.51

0.46

-0.05

18

0.68

0.81

0.13

19

0.45

0.28

-0.17

20

0.27

0.17

-0.1

21

0.59

1.45

0.86

22

0.3

0.36

0.06

23

0.72

1.48

0.76

24

0.76

0.95

0.19

25

0.4

0.45

0.05

n =

25

dbar

0.2064

s(d)

0.26536

µ0

0

tcal

3.889