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Suppose 60% of a group of American citizens is registered to vote and of those r

ID: 3322148 • Letter: S

Question

Suppose 60% of a group of American citizens is registered to vote and of those registered, 85% voted in the last presidential election. What is the probability a randomly selected citizen is both registered to vote and voted in the last presidential election? Suppose 60% of a group of American citizens is registered to vote and of those registered, 85% voted in the last presidential election. What is the probability a randomly selected citizen is both registered to vote and voted in the last presidential election?

Explanation / Answer

Probability that a citizen has registered to vote P(registered) = 0.6.

Probability that a registered citizen voted in last election P(voted|registered) = 0.85.

=> Probability that a citizen is both registered to vote and voted in the last presidential election

P(voted and registered) = P(voted|registered) * P(registered) according to Baye's law

= 0.6 * 0.85

= 0.51.

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