Be sure to use Excel Megastat to solve the following problem Smoking and short-t
ID: 3231220 • Letter: B
Question
Be sure to use Excel Megastat to solve the following problem
Smoking and short-term illness case:
Besides the known long-term effects of smoking, some researchers believe that there may be a relationship between the average number of cigarettes smoked and the number of work days missed due to short illnesses. To help understand this, a sample of smokers was drawn. Each person was asked to report the average number of cigarettes smoked per day and the number of days absent from work due to colds last year (sick days).
Answer the following questions:
5. Using a significance level of = .05, is there sufficient evidence to conclude that the number of cigarettes smoked is useful in predicting the number of sick days from work?
6. Estimate with 95% confidence the average number of sick days for all individuals who smoke 30 cigarettes per day. Interpret the practical meaning of this interval estimate in the context of the problem.
7. Predict with 95% confidence the number of sick days of a single individual who smokes 30 cigarettes per day. Interpret the practical meaning of this interval estimate in the context of the problem.
8. Estimate the true population slope for this least squares regression line with 95% confidence. Interpret the practical meaning of this interval estimate in the context of the problem.
9. What are the variance and standard deviation of the random errors for this regression analysis?
10. Calculate and report the residual of the 10th observation in the data set.
cigarettes Days 44 18 41 18 17 18 35 15 33 14 44 15 39 18 35 10 43 16 43 14 41 16 47 19 41 13 30 12 15 18 39 18 36 11 41 13 37 10 43 21 32 13 17 13 34 15 32 11 19 10 44 26 30 13 42 25 34 5 36 8 42 15 47 15 55 19 27 15 28 15 45 22 29 10 37 13 52 13 34 16 48 23 40 15 29 16 34 10 35 19 57 23 48 11 41 10 40 13 36 13 26 7 29 15 52 16 28 16 35 11 42 15 54 19 56 19 37 9 41 17 32 16 63 20 31 15 36 15 31 12 25 15 40 25 55 16 37 21 28 15 56 21 24 16 61 19 40 16 50 14 52 10 45 14 42 19 47 23 22 0 26 12 38 13 46 13 27 9 45 21 43 15 17 11 45 16 40 15 41 17 37 15 30 10 37 14 31 9 49 10 44 15 16 2 25 4 30 5 20 6 36 11 39 14 49 13 37 19 20 11 48 12 28 5 51 16 36 21 42 6 47 9 17 11 22 16 42 21 32 11 31 7 49 16 30 11 31 11 38 18 44 14 41 17 40 20 32 17 48 15 29 17 40 18 45 18 40 15 35 18 37 17 41 16 25 16 35 19 44 15 58 24 27 13 42 22 26 9 48 15 30 11 36 13 26 8 27 6 39 14 17 17 44 21 41 19 26 14 30 14 36 13 31 15 55 17 45 17 27 17 25 9 42 15 18 6 49 15 60 19 40 18 29 15 32 12 35 16 45 15 42 11 52 13 52 16 8 16 36 15 33 12 38 17 38 11 38 14 36 16 44 11 36 14 35 12 30 13 39 21 37 7 26 22 51 18 42 10 44 19 41 15 32 16 56 19 47 22 39 11 18 10 33 12 49 14 16 7 38 9 27 8 26 15 27 8 25 15 14 11 40 9 38 9 38 13 62 18 47 14 54 9 37 6 40 17 56 17 38 16 53 22 52 19 21 11 34 16 23 5 44 13 36 17 45 14 23 10 26 12 54 20 37 19 56 11 38 14 59 18 39 16 38 21 42 20 44 17 32 17 45 13Explanation / Answer
Answer:
Answer the following questions:
5. Using a significance level of = .05, is there sufficient evidence to conclude that the number of cigarettes smoked is useful in predicting the number of sick days from work?
Calculated F=56.13, P=0.000 which is < 0.05 level. Ho is rejected.
There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the number of cigarettes smoked is useful in predicting the number of sick days from work.
6. Estimate with 95% confidence the average number of sick days for all individuals who smoke 30 cigarettes per day. Interpret the practical meaning of this interval estimate in the context of the problem.
95% confidence interval =(12.336, 13.622).
We are 95% confidence that the predicted average number of sick days for all individuals who smoke 30 cigarettes per day fall in the interval (12.336, 13.622).
7. Predict with 95% confidence the number of sick days of a single individual who smokes 30 cigarettes per day. Interpret the practical meaning of this interval estimate in the context of the problem.
95% prediction interval=(5.078, 20.880).
We are 95% confidence that the number of sick days of a single individual who smokes 30 cigarettes per day falls in the interval (5.078, 20.880).
8. Estimate the true population slope for this least squares regression line with 95% confidence. Interpret the practical meaning of this interval estimate in the context of the problem.
95% confidence for slope= (0.1398, 0.2396).
We are 95% confident that true population slope for this least squares regression line falls in the interval (0.1398, 0.2396).
9. What are the variance and standard deviation of the random errors for this regression analysis?
Variance=15.9735
Standard deviation=3.997
10. Calculate and report the residual of the 10th observation in the data set.
Predicted value for 10th observation :
43
14
Predicted days =7.2865+0.1897*43 =15.4436
Residual =14-15.4436 = -1.4436
Regression Analysis
r²
0.197
n
231
r
0.444
k
1
Std. Error
3.997
Dep. Var.
Days
ANOVA table
Source
SS
df
MS
F
p-value
Regression
896.6419
1
896.6419
56.13
1.46E-12
Residual
3,657.9295
229
15.9735
Total
4,554.5714
230
Regression output
confidence interval
variables
coefficients
std. error
t (df=229)
p-value
95% lower
95% upper
Intercept
7.2865
0.9889
7.369
3.11E-12
5.3381
9.2350
cigarettes
0.1897
0.0253
7.492
1.46E-12
0.1398
0.2396
Predicted values for: Days
95% Confidence Interval
95% Prediction Interval
cigarettes
Predicted
lower
upper
lower
upper
Leverage
30
12.979
12.336
13.622
5.078
20.880
0.007
43
14
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