I need an actual example to understand this problem better, it would be great if
ID: 3154243 • Letter: I
Question
I need an actual example to understand this problem better, it would be great if it could be a real life example or something that I can easily understand.
One can calculate the 95% confidence interval for the mean with the population standard deviation known. This will give us an upper and a lower confidence limit. What happens if we decide to calculate the 99% confidence interval? Describe how the increase in the confidence level has changed the width of the confidence interval. Do the same for the confidence interval set at 80%. Please include an example with actual numerical values for the intervals.
Explanation / Answer
say we have a sample of 100 students, and they take an average of 15 minutes with population standard deviation of 5 minutes to get to school.
For 95% confidence:
Note that
Margin of Error E = z(alpha/2) * s / sqrt(n)
Lower Bound = X - z(alpha/2) * s / sqrt(n)
Upper Bound = X + z(alpha/2) * s / sqrt(n)
where
alpha/2 = (1 - confidence level)/2 = 0.025
X = sample mean = 15
z(alpha/2) = critical z for the confidence interval = 1.959963985
s = sample standard deviation = 5
n = sample size = 100
Thus,
Margin of Error E = 0.979981992
Lower bound = 14.02001801
Upper bound = 15.97998199
Thus, the confidence interval is
( 14.02001801 , 15.97998199 )
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FOR 99% CONFIDENCE:
Note that
Margin of Error E = z(alpha/2) * s / sqrt(n)
Lower Bound = X - z(alpha/2) * s / sqrt(n)
Upper Bound = X + z(alpha/2) * s / sqrt(n)
where
alpha/2 = (1 - confidence level)/2 = 0.005
X = sample mean = 15
z(alpha/2) = critical z for the confidence interval = 2.575829304
s = sample standard deviation = 5
n = sample size = 100
Thus,
Margin of Error E = 1.287914652
Lower bound = 13.71208535
Upper bound = 16.28791465
Thus, the confidence interval is
( 13.71208535 , 16.28791465 )
*********************************************
As we can see, the 99% confidence interval is wider (larger margin of error) than the 95% confidence interval. [ANSWER]
*******************************************
Note that
Margin of Error E = z(alpha/2) * s / sqrt(n)
Lower Bound = X - z(alpha/2) * s / sqrt(n)
Upper Bound = X + z(alpha/2) * s / sqrt(n)
where
alpha/2 = (1 - confidence level)/2 = 0.1
X = sample mean = 15
z(alpha/2) = critical z for the confidence interval = 1.281551566
s = sample standard deviation = 5
n = sample size = 100
Thus,
Margin of Error E = 0.640775783
Lower bound = 14.35922422
Upper bound = 15.64077578
Thus, the confidence interval is
( 14.35922422 , 15.64077578 )
***************************************************
As we can see, the 80% confidence interval is the narrowest, next is 95%, and the widest interval is 99% confidence interval.
Hence, as confidence level increases, the confidence interval becomes wider. [ANSWER]
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