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A researcher wishes to estimate, with 99% confidence, the population proportion

ID: 3128550 • Letter: A

Question

A researcher wishes to estimate, with 99% confidence, the population proportion of adults who say chocolate is their favorite ice cream flavor. Her estimate must be accurate within

22% of the population proportion.

(a) No preliminary estimate is available. Find the minimum sample size needed.

(b) Find the minimum sample size needed, using a prior study that found that 46%

of the respondents said their favorite flavor of ice cream is chocolate.

(c) Compare the results from parts (a) and (b).

(a) What is the minimum sample size needed assuming that no prior information is available?

nequals=nothing

(Round up to the nearest whole number as needed.)

(b)

What is the minimum sample size needed using a prior study that found that

46%

of the respondents said their favorite ice cream flavor is chocolate?

nequals=nothing

(Round up to the nearest whole number as needed.)

(c) How do the results from (a) and (b) compare?

A.

Having an estimate of the population proportion has no effect on the minimum sample size needed.

B.

Having an estimate of the population proportion reduces the minimum sample size needed.

C.

Having an estimate of the population proportion raises the minimum sample size needed.

Click to select your answer(s).

Explanation / Answer

a)

Note that      
      
n = z(alpha/2)^2 p (1 - p) / E^2      
      
where      
      
alpha/2 =    0.005  
As there is no previous estimate for p, we set p = 0.5.      
      
Using a table/technology,      
      
z(alpha/2) =    2.575829304  
      
Also,      
      
E =    0.02  
p =    0.5  
      
Thus,      
      
n =    4146.810376  
      
Rounding up,      
      
n =    4147   [ANSWER]

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b)

Note that      
      
n = z(alpha/2)^2 p (1 - p) / E^2      
      
where      
      
alpha/2 =    0.005  
       
      
Using a table/technology,      
      
z(alpha/2) =    2.575829304  
      
Also,      
      
E =    0.02  
p =    0.46  
      
Thus,      
      
n =    4120.270789  
      
Rounding up,      
      
n =    4121   [ANSWER]

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c)

The result in b) is smaller than in a).

Hence,

OPTION B: B. Having an estimate of the population proportion reduces the minimum sample size needed. [ANSWER]
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