2. (Binomial dist.) When randomly guessing on a multiple choice test with 8 ques
ID: 3126436 • Letter: 2
Question
2. (Binomial dist.) When randomly guessing on a multiple choice test with 8 questions, where each question has 4 options; a) What is the probability that you will get at least 7 questions correct? b) What is the expected number of questions a student will get correct without studying for the exam? c) What is the standard deviation? 3. (Poisson dist.) Surface-finish defects in a small electric appliance occur at random with a mean rate of 0.1 defects per unit. Find the probability that a randomly selected unit will contain at least one surface-finish defect.Explanation / Answer
2.
a)
Note that P(at least x) = 1 - P(at most x - 1).
Using a cumulative binomial distribution table or technology, matching
n = number of trials = 8
p = the probability of a success = 1/4 = 0.25
x = our critical value of successes = 7
Then the cumulative probability of P(at most x - 1) from a table/technology is
P(at most 6 ) = 0.99961853
Thus, the probability of at least 7 successes is
P(at least 7 ) = 0.00038147 [ANSWER]
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b)
u = mean = np = 2 [ANSWER]
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c)
s = standard deviation = sqrt(np(1-p)) = 1.224744871 [ANSWER]
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