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. As the name suggests, the Old Faithful geyser in Yellowstone National Park has

ID: 3069520 • Letter: #

Question

. As the name suggests, the Old Faithful geyser in Yellowstone National Park has eruptions that come at fairly predictable intervals, making it particularly attractive to tourists.

(a) You are a busy tourist and have only 10 minutes to sit around and watch the geyser. But you can choose when to arrive. If the last eruption occurred at noon, what time should you arrive at the geyser to maximize your chances of seeing an eruption?

A) 12:50

B) 1:00

C) 1:05

D) 1:15

E) 1:25

(b) Roughly, what is the probability that in the best 10-minute interval, you will actually see the eruption:

A) 5%

B) 10%

C) 20%

D) 30%

E) 50%

F) 75%

(c) A simple measure of how faithful is Old Faithful is the interquartile range. What is the interquartile range, according to the boxplot above?

A) 10 minutes

B) 15 minutes

C) 25 minutes

D) 35 minutes

E) 50 minutes

F) 75 minutes

(d) Not only are you a busy tourist, you are a smart tourist. Having read about Old Faithful, you understand that the time between eruptions depends on how long the previous eruption lasted. Here's a box plot indicating the distribution of inter-eruption times when the previous eruption duration was less than three minutes. (That is, “TRUE" means the previous eruption lasted less than three minutes.)

You can easily ask the ranger what was the duration of the previous eruption. What is the best 10-minute interval to return (after a noon eruption) so that you will be most likely to see the next eruption, given that the previous eruption was less than three minutes in duration (the “TRUE" category).

A) 1:00 to 1:10

B) 1:05 to 1:15

C) 1:10 to 1:20

D) 1:15 to 1:25

E) 1:20 to 1:30

F) 1:25 to 1:35

(e) How likely are you to see an eruption if you return for the most likely 10-minute interval?

A) About 5%

B) About 10%

C) About 20%

D) About 30%

E) About 50%

F) About 75%

Explanation / Answer

we see that the median line is at 75 minutes . Hence if the last eruption was at 12:00 noon , then the next eruption would happen at around 1:15 pm

b)
as the best time slot is about 75 minutes and the range is 0 to 100 , hence approximately 75%


c)
The interquartile range is given as

Q3-Q1

so Q3 = 82
and Q1 = 58

we get

82-58 = 24

d)
the true category median line is 80
so again if the last eruption was at noon , the next would be at

12:00 noon +80 minutes

1:20
between
1:15 to 1:25 pm

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