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(1 point) A person is to walk into a casino and play a certain game. The chance

ID: 3057244 • Letter: #

Question

(1 point) A person is to walk into a casino and play a certain game. The chance the person will win the game is 0.38. Once they play the first game, win or lose, they are to play the game 3 more times for a total of 4 games. A random variable X is to count how many of the 4 games the gambler wins (a) Finish the probability distribution of X below. Use four decimals in each of your entries. (b) From the distribution you found in part (a), what can you say about the distribution of X? The distribution of X is? Enter your answers to two decimals.) I. with an mean of ll games won and a standard deviation of games won. Preview My Answers Submit Answers

Explanation / Answer

Back-up Theory

Number of ways of selecting r things out of n things is given by nCr which expands as

(n!)/{(r!)(n – r)!}……………………………………………………………………..(1)

Part (a)

P(X = 0) = P(None of the 4 games is won)

= 0.624[given probability of winning is 0.38, probability of not winning is0.62]

= 0.1478

P(X = 1) = P(Exactly one win)

= P(one win and other three losses)

Now, one win can be any one of the 4 games in 4 ways (4C1). One win probability is 0.38 and three losses is 0.623

Thus, P(X = 1) = (4C1)(0.38)( 0.623)

= 0.3623

Similarly,

P(X = 2) = (4C2)(0.382)( 0.622) = 0.3330

P(X = 3) = (4C3)(0.383)( 0.62) = 0.1361

P(X = 4) = (4C4)(0.384)( 0.620) = 0.0209.

Thus, the probability distribution of X is:

x

0

1

2

3

4

Total

p(x)

0.1478

0.3623

0.3330

0.1361

0.0208

1

ANSWER

Part (b)

The above distribution is

Binomial with mean 1.52 and standard deviation 0.97. ANSWER

DONE

[Additional Note:

If X ~ B(n, p). i.e., X has Binomial Distribution with parameters n and p, where n = number of trials and p = probability of one success, then

probability mass function (pmf) of X is given by

p(x) = P(X = x) = (nCx)(px)(1 - p)n – x, x = 0, 1, 2, ……. , n ………………………………..(1)

[The above probability can also be directly obtained using Excel Function of Binomial Distribution] ……………………………………………………………………………….(1a)

Mean (average) of X = E(X) = np…………………………………………………………..(2)

Variance of X = V(X) = np(1 – p)…………………………………………………………..(3)

Standatd Deviation of X = SD(X) = { np(1 – p)} ………………………………………...(4)

In the given question, n = 4, p = 0.38]

x

0

1

2

3

4

Total

p(x)

0.1478

0.3623

0.3330

0.1361

0.0208

1