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6) Multiple choice: Answer each sub-question by stating whether the term indicat

ID: 2929387 • Letter: 6

Question

6) Multiple choice: Answer each sub-question by stating whether the term indicated would increase, decrease, stay the same, or not enough info to say. (Note: "increase" and "decrease" refer to the absolute value.) a) In the binomial distribution, as N decreases, what happens to the value of the most likely outcome when P = .50? b) For any N, as P increases from .10 to .50, what happens to the value of the most likely outcome? c) For any N, as P increases from .50 to .90, what happens to the value of the most likely outcome? d) When P = .5, what happens to the probability of the most likely individual outcome, as N increases? 2 es? 7)

Explanation / Answer

a. Since p = 0.50, 1 - p = 0.50 and the p and q terms will be (0.50)n.

The other term will be nC(n/2) for the mean.

Thus the probability of the most expected value = nC(n/2) * (0.50)n

As n decreases, nC(n/2) * (0.50)n increases.

Example: 4C2 * 0.504 = 0.375

2C1 * 0.502 = 0.5.

b) The most likely result is np.

As p increases, 1 - p which is a bigger value decreases. The net effect is that the probability of most likely value decreases.

E.g p = 0.1, n = 10 => 10 * 0.11 * 0.99 = 0.387

p = 0.2, n = 10 => 45 * 0.22 * 0.88 = 0.3020

c) The most likely result is np.

As p increases, 1 - p which is a smaller value decreases. The net effect is that the probability of most likely value increases.

E.g p = 0.8, n = 10 => 45 * 0.88 * 0.22 = 0.3020

p = 0.9, n = 10 => 10 * 0.99 * 0.11 = 0.387

d) When P = 0.5, the probability of the most likely outcome

= nC(n/2) * (0.5)n

As n increases, nC(n/2) * (0.50)n decreases.

Example: 2C1 * 0.502 = 0.5.

4C2 * 0.504 = 0.375

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