BSCS Empirical Climate Model ( Carbon Connections Climate Model): http://carbonc
ID: 95481 • Letter: B
Question
BSCS Empirical Climate Model (Carbon Connections Climate Model):
http://carbonconnections.bscs.org/curriculum/unit-03/ecm-full/
Start by looking at the individual contribution of each variable by moving all the sliders except one to zero. Record the results in the table below and repeat this procedure for the other three variables. Observe the way that the red line in the top graph reflects changes that you make in the settings.
Try different settings for the variables and see how they change the model. Observe how the different variables interact. (An interesting combination is to set Anthropogenic and Solar Cycles to zero and look at the way the effects of Volcanoes and El Nino have interacted.)
Observations and Reflection
Climate Forcing Component
How much of the “best fit” can be explained by this component (set all other sliders to “0”).
Other observations based on your manipulations of the model.
El Nino
Volcanic
Solar Cycles
Anthropogenic
Describe some of the settings you experimented with and analyze the results.
What conclusions about the overall effects of these four variables on observed temperature fluctuations can you make based on this model?
What is the difference between an empirical model like this one and a Global Climate Model (like EdGCM)? What do you think are the strengths and weaknesses of each type of model?
How do you think climate scientists use empirical models?
Climate Forcing Component
How much of the “best fit” can be explained by this component (set all other sliders to “0”).
Other observations based on your manipulations of the model.
El Nino
Volcanic
Solar Cycles
Anthropogenic
Explanation / Answer
The individual contribution of each variable by moving all the sliders except one to zero.
What is the difference between an empirical model like this one and a Global Climate Model (like EdGCM)
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