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Kelly is contemplating on returning to graduate school to earn her MBA. She know

ID: 428224 • Letter: K

Question

Kelly is contemplating on returning to graduate school to earn her MBA. She knows from experience, that she can get a well paying job after undergraduate school. The probability of getting a job with a salary of $20,000/year is 75% and a job with a salary of $30,000/year is 25%. However, if she chooses to attend and finish graduate school, her salary would likely increase. The probability of getting a job with a salary of $40,000/year is 75% and getting a job with a salary of $50,000/year is 25%. Knowing that tuition cost and years spent on schooling is not a concern to Kelly, should Kelly find a job or return to graduate school?

Find the best decision using the following:

a.         Develop a payoff table for the above situation.

b.         Find the following:

1.         Maximax

2.         Maximin

3.         Equal Likelihood

4.         Minimax Regret

c.         Create a sensitivity graph comparing the different alternatives as the probability of getting a job changes.

Explanation / Answer

A.

B.

Decision: Graduation.

Decision: Graduation.


S P S*P Step Situation Probabillity Expected value Undergrad 20000 0.75 15000 Undergrad 30000 0.25 7500 22500 Grad 40000 0.75 30000 Grad 50000 0.25 12500 42500