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5. A(n) 6. What is the gradual shift in the value of the time series known as? 7

ID: 391149 • Letter: 5

Question

5. A(n) 6. What is the gradual shift in the value of the time series known as? 7. Which of the following uses a panel of experts, whose identities are typically kept confidential from is a stream of historical data a) index b orthopole c)time series d) irrational number a) a smoothing constant b) a coordinate c) a trend d) a weight one another, to respond to a sequence of questionnaires? a) the Simple Moving average method b) the Delphi method of forecasting c) the method of Historical Analogy d) the Simple Exponential Smoothing method 8. The Delphi method of forecasting a) promotes unbiased exchanges of ideas and discussion and usually results in some convergence of opinion b) uses measures that are believed to influence the behavior of a variable that the researcher wishes to forecast c) uses a single measure that weights multiple indicators and provides a measure of overall expectation d) obtains forecasts through a comparative analysis with a previous situation 9.In the context of time series, a cyclical effect differs from a seasonal effect in that the cyclical effect a) relates to much longer-term behavior b) does not show a gradual shift in the time series c) relates to much shorter-term behavior d) shows a gradual shift in the time serie

Explanation / Answer

5.

(c) Time series

6.

(c) Trend

7.

(b) Delphi method

8.

(a) The Delphi method promotes unbiased exchanges of ideas and discussion and usually results in a convergence of opinion

9.

(a) relates to long-term behavior (more than a year) compared to seasonal effect which is typically less than a year.

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