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Q1. (3 points) Consider each of the scenarios: Can -0.50 be the probability of s

ID: 3335670 • Letter: Q

Question

Q1. (3 points) Consider each of the scenarios:

Can -0.50 be the probability of some event? Why or why not?

Can 1.45 be the probability of some event? Why or why not?

Can 0.50 be the probability of some event? Why or why not?

Q2. (2 points) Suppose today’s weather forecast on weather.com says there is a 80% probability of rain today. What is the compliment of the event “rain today”? What is the probability of that compliment? Based on this probability would it be reasonable to have a picnic outside today?

Use this information to answer questions Q3-Q7.

The following is the roster for a small upper-division biology class at a university. The course is offered to both biology and non-biology majors. Each row represents the major, class standing, and course grade.

Student

Major

Class Standing

Grade

Cameron

Biology

Junior

A

Tamara

Biology

Junior

A

Jenny

Biology

Junior

A

Rachel

Biology

Junior

A

Lan

Other

Senior

A

Sam

Biology

Senior

B

Carlos

Biology

Senior

B

Jacob

Biology

Sophomore

B

Lamar

Biology

Sophomore

B

Heather

Other

Junior

B

Daniel

Other

Senior

B

Marcus

Other

Senior

B

Carrie

Biology

Junior

C

Sean

Other

Junior

C

Tina

Other

Junior

C

Robert

Biology

Senior

D

Tara

Other

Senior

D

Jeremy

Biology

Sophomore

F

Q3. (6 points) Of the students in the class the chance a randomly selected student is:

Round all probabilities to three decimal places.

a Biology major is: P(Biology Major) =

a senior is: P(Senior) =

a Biology major AND a Senior is: P(Biology AND Senior) =

Explain step by step as if you giving a solution to someone who does not know anything about probability how you came up with your answer for part c.

Q4. (4 points) Complete the given Venn diagram by filling in probabilities of each section. Hints: All probabilities in the diagram should add to one. Start with the intersections and work outward. The whole circle for Biology should add to what you have in part Q3a).

Q5. (2 points) In your Venn diagram what event does the probability that is outside your circles represent?

Q6. (3 points) Given we randomly select a Senior what is the chance they are a Biology major? That is, what is the conditional probability that a randomly selected student is a Biology major GIVEN they are an Senior student? P(Biology Major | Senior) =

Q7. (3 points) Create a finite probability model for the variable Grade in the small Biology course. Round to three decimal places.

Student

Major

Class Standing

Grade

Cameron

Biology

Junior

A

Tamara

Biology

Junior

A

Jenny

Biology

Junior

A

Rachel

Biology

Junior

A

Lan

Other

Senior

A

Sam

Biology

Senior

B

Carlos

Biology

Senior

B

Jacob

Biology

Sophomore

B

Lamar

Biology

Sophomore

B

Heather

Other

Junior

B

Daniel

Other

Senior

B

Marcus

Other

Senior

B

Carrie

Biology

Junior

C

Sean

Other

Junior

C

Tina

Other

Junior

C

Robert

Biology

Senior

D

Tara

Other

Senior

D

Jeremy

Biology

Sophomore

F

Explanation / Answer

Q1. (3 points) Consider each of the scenarios:

Question : Can -0.50 be the probability of some event? Why or why not?

Answer: This cannot be a valid probability for some event. because all the probability values must lie within the range of [ 0 , 1 ] that is from 0 to 1. It cannot be a negative value.

Question: Can 1.45 be the probability of some event? Why or why not?

Answer: This cannot be a valid probability for some event. because all the probability values must lie within the range of [ 0 , 1 ] that is from 0 to 1. It cannot be greater than 1.

Question: Can 0.50 be the probability of some event? Why or why not?

Answer: This can be a valid probability for some event. because all the probability values must lie within the range of [ 0 , 1 ] that is from 0 to 1 and 0.5 lies in the given region.