Lotteries have been a very successful money maker for governments around the wor
ID: 3305183 • Letter: L
Question
Lotteries have been a very successful money maker for governments around the
world. In the United States, recent Powerball and Mega Millions jackpots have
run into the hundreds of millions of dollars, with many millions of people buying
tickets. (As a side note, these lotteries typically return roughly half of every dollar
wagered to the players through the prizes, with the remainder going to expenses
and government coffers.) Suppose the folks at Interprovincial Lottery Corporation,
enticed by those large jackpots in the US, want to design a lottery that is similar
to Lotto 6/49 but is much more difficult to win. (As they think it will result in
more carry-overs, larger jackpots, more news coverage, greater participation, and
greater profits for the lottery corporation.) They decide on the following rules for
the so-called Red &White lottery: four white balls will be randomly chosen from
49 numbered white balls, and, from a separate drum, 2 red balls are chosen from
49 numbered red balls. To win the grand prize, ticket buyers must pick the correct
4 white balls and 2 red balls. The order in which the balls are drawn does not
matter.
(a) On any individual drawing, what is the probability that there are no even
numbers drawn?
(b) If you buy a single ticket, what is the probability you win the grand prize?
(c) Suppose in its initial offering, 10 million tickets are sold. Assuming the num-
bers were picked purely randomly and independently, what is the probability
there is a carryover? (That is, what is the probability that nobody wins
the grand prize.) (In reality, numbers are not always picked randomly and
independently, but this assumption provides a reasonable baseline.
Explanation / Answer
a)probability that there are no even numbers drawn =P( selecting 4 white balls out of 25 odd numbered balls * selecting 2 red balls out of 25 odd numbered balls ) =((25C4)*(25C2))/((49C4)*(49C2)) =0.0152
b)probability you win the grand prize =1/((49C4)*(49C2)) =4.0134*10-9
c)
probability that nobody wins the grand prize =1- 107/((49C4)*(49C2)) =1-0.0401 =0.9599
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