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***I have provided the data below for the problem. I need real help because last

ID: 3264033 • Letter: #

Question

***I have provided the data below for the problem. I need real help because last time I wasnt helped. :/ 7/19/17 ****

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Observation Party Pay Cut? Lobbyists? Term Limits? 1 Democrat 1 0 0 2 Democrat 1 1 0 3 Democrat 0 1 0 4 Democrat 1 0 1 5 Democrat 0 0 0 6 Democrat 0 1 1 7 Democrat 1 0 0 8 Democrat 0 1 0 9 Democrat 1 1 0 10 Democrat 1 0 1 11 Democrat 1 0 1 12 Democrat 1 0 1 13 Democrat 0 0 1 14 Democrat 1 0 1 15 Democrat 1 1 1 16 Democrat 1 0 0 17 Democrat 1 1 0 18 Democrat 1 0 1 19 Democrat 1 1 0 20 Democrat 1 1 1 21 Democrat 0 0 1 22 Democrat 1 0 0 23 Democrat 0 1 0 24 Democrat 0 1 1 25 Democrat 0 1 1 26 Democrat 1 1 1 27 Democrat 1 1 0 28 Democrat 0 1 1 29 Democrat 0 0 0 30 Democrat 1 1 0 31 Democrat 1 0 0 32 Democrat 0 1 1 33 Democrat 1 1 0 34 Democrat 0 1 1 35 Democrat 0 1 0 36 Democrat 1 1 0 37 Independent 0 0 1 38 Independent 0 0 1 39 Independent 1 1 1 40 Independent 1 1 0 41 Independent 0 1 0 42 Independent 0 0 1 43 Independent 1 1 0 44 Independent 0 1 1 45 Independent 1 1 1 46 Independent 0 1 0 47 Independent 1 1 1 48 Independent 1 1 1 49 Independent 0 1 0 50 Independent 0 0 1 51 Independent 1 1 0 52 Independent 1 1 1 53 Independent 1 1 0 54 Independent 1 1 0 55 Independent 0 1 0 56 Republican 1 1 1 57 Republican 1 0 1 58 Republican 1 1 0 59 Republican 1 1 1 60 Republican 0 1 0 61 Republican 1 1 0 62 Republican 1 1 0 63 Republican 1 1 1 64 Republican 1 1 1 65 Republican 1 1 1 66 Republican 1 1 0 67 Republican 1 1 0 68 Republican 1 0 1 69 Republican 1 0 1 70 Republican 1 1 1 71 Republican 0 0 1 72 Republican 0 1 1 73 Republican 1 1 1 74 Republican 0 0 1 75 Republican 0 1 1 76 Republican 1 0 1 77 Republican 1 0 1 78 Republican 1 1 0 79 Republican 1 1 1 80 Republican 1 1 1 81 Republican 1 0 1 82 Republican 1 0 0 83 Republican 0 1 0 84 Republican 1 1 1 85 Republican 1 1 0 86 Republican 1 1 1 87 Republican 1 1 0 88 Republican 1 1 0 89 Republican 1 1 1 90 Republican 1 1 1 91 Republican 1 1 1 92 Republican 1 1 1 93 Republican 1 1 1 94 Republican 1 1 1 95 Republican 1 1 1 96 Republican 1 0 1 97 Republican 1 1 1 98 Republican 1 1 1 99 Republican 1 0 0 100 Republican 1 1 1 BUAD 2070: Assignment on Testing Independence In a study conducted by Zogsby International for the Democrat and Chronicle, more than 700 New Yorkers were polled to determine whether the New York State government works. Respondents surveyed were asked questions involving pay cuts for state legislators, restrictions on lobbyists, and term limits for legislators. The results regarding several proposed reforms had broad support, crossing all demographic and political lines Suppose that a follow up survey of 100 individuals who live in the western regions of New York State was conducted. The party affiliation (Democrat, Independent, Republican) of each individual surveyed was recorded, as well as the responses to the following questions -Should legislative pay be cut for every day the state budget is late? - Should there be more restrictions on lobbyists? - Should there be term limits requiring that legislators serve a fixed number of years? The responses were coded using 1 for a Yes response and 0 for a No response; see the Excel file "NYSurvey" For each of the three questions do the following 1. Construct the contingency table with the observed frequencies concerning "Response" (Yes or No) and "Party Affiliation" (Democrat, Independent, Republican). Compute the sample percentages of Democrats, Independents and Republicans who voted Yes, and compare them. 2. At a 5% significance level, conduct the test of independence of "Response" and "Party Affiliation". Clearly specify the null and alternative hypotheses. Find the contingency table with the expected frequencies concerning "Response" and “Party Affiliation". Compute the value of the test statistic Make your conclusion using the p-value approach or the critical value approach, and interpret your conclusion. Note: The Excel instructions for conducting the test for independence are on pages 513 - 514, but you do not have to use Excel's Pivot-Table approach to construct the contingency tables with the observed and expected frequencies

Explanation / Answer

1.Contingency table :

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Row Total

Pay Cut

39

22

10

71

Lobbyist

34

21

15

70

Term Limits

32

17

10

59

Column total

105

60

35

200

Table giving the sample % :

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Row Total

Pay Cut

19.5

11

5

35.5

Lobbyist

17

10.5

7.5

35

Term Limits

16

8.5

5

29.5

Column total

52.5

30

17.5

100


From this table, we see that Republicans vote YES the most for all the three questions. People accept the paycut more than others.

2. NULL HYPOTHESIS - H0 : Responses and party affiliation are independent.
ALTERNATIVE HYPOTHESIS - Ha : Responses and party affiliation are not independent.
Significance level = 0.05.
Degrees of freedom = (no. of rows - 1) (no. of columns – 1) = (3 – 1)(3 – 1) = 4
Expected frequency = Row total * Column total / TOTAL
Table giving the expected frequencies :

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Pay Cut

37.275

21.3

12.425

Lobbyist

36.75

21

12.25

Term Limits

30.975

17.7

10.325


Chi-square test statistic 2 = (observed – expected)2/expected = 1.4711
Critical value = 20.05;4 = 9.487729
Since 2 < critical value, we accept the null hypothesis and conclude that RESPONSES and PARTY AFFILIATION are independent.

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Row Total

Pay Cut

39

22

10

71

Lobbyist

34

21

15

70

Term Limits

32

17

10

59

Column total

105

60

35

200