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Given the following data: Y X 1 X 2 X 3 X 4 51.4 0.2 17.8 24.6 18.9 72.0 1.9 29.

ID: 3235129 • Letter: G

Question

Given the following data:

Y

X1

X2

X3

X4

51.4

0.2

17.8

24.6

18.9

72.0

1.9

29.4

20.7

8.0

53.2

0.2

17.0

18.5

22.6

83.2

10.7

30.2

10.6

7.1

57.4

6.8

15.3

8.9

27.3

66.5

10.6

17.6

11.1

20.8

98.3

9.6

35.6

10.6

5.6

74.8

6.3

28.2

8.8

13.1

92.2

10.8

34.7

11.9

5.9

97.9

9.6

35.8

10.8

5.5

88.1

10.5

29.6

11.7

7.8

94.8

20.5

26.3

6.7

10.0

62.8

0.4

22.3

26.5

14.3

81.6

2.3

37.9

20.0

0.5

(a) Fit a full multiple regression model to the data, computing the sample partial regression coefficients and Y intercept.

(b) By analysis of variance, test the hypothesis that there is no significant multiple regression relationship between Y and Xs.

(c) If H0 is rejected in part (b), test hypotheses H0: bi = 0 for each independent variable.

(d) Calculate the standard error of estimate and the coefficient of determination.

(e) What is the predicted Y at X1 = 5.2, X2 = 21.3, X3 = 19.7, X4 = 12.2.

(f) Do all four independent variables have a significant effect on Y in the population samples? If not, use the stepwise regression to analyze the data and report the new regression model.

Y

X1

X2

X3

X4

51.4

0.2

17.8

24.6

18.9

72.0

1.9

29.4

20.7

8.0

53.2

0.2

17.0

18.5

22.6

83.2

10.7

30.2

10.6

7.1

57.4

6.8

15.3

8.9

27.3

66.5

10.6

17.6

11.1

20.8

98.3

9.6

35.6

10.6

5.6

74.8

6.3

28.2

8.8

13.1

92.2

10.8

34.7

11.9

5.9

97.9

9.6

35.8

10.8

5.5

88.1

10.5

29.6

11.7

7.8

94.8

20.5

26.3

6.7

10.0

62.8

0.4

22.3

26.5

14.3

81.6

2.3

37.9

20.0

0.5

Explanation / Answer

(a) Fit a full multiple regression model to the data, computing the sample partial regression coefficients and Y intercept.

Y = -30.1369 + 2.0699 X1+ 2.5816 X2+ 0.6360 X3+ 1.1060X4

(b) H0: regression not significant

Ha : regression is sufficient.

F - value = 90.1768 so it is more than Fcritical and significane - F is 2.954 x 10-7

(c) H0 is rejected in part(b)

for independent variables, Null Hypothesis : H0: bi = 0

Alternative Hypothesis : Ha : bi > 0

T - stat and P - value for each variable is given above.

so for X1and X2are significant in nature. and other variables X3and X4 are insignificant in nature.

(d) standard error of estimate = 3.1065

Coefficient of determination = 0.9757

(e) What is the predicted Y at X1 = 5.2, X2 = 21.3, X3 = 19.7, X4 = 12.2.

Y = -30.1369 + 2.0699 X1+ 2.5816 X2+ 0.6360 X3+ 1.1060X4

Y = -30.1359 + 2.0699 * 5.2 + 2.5816 * 21.3 + 0.6360 * 19.7 + 1.1060 * 12.2 = 61.638

SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.9878 R Square 0.9757 Adjusted R Square 0.9648 Standard Error 3.1065 Observations 14 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression 4 3480.9944 870.2486 90.1768 2.954E-07 Residual 9 86.8542 9.6505 Total 13 3567.8486 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Intercept -30.1369 37.5282 -0.8030 0.4426 -115.0315 54.7577 X1 2.0699 0.4562 4.5374 0.0014 1.0380 3.1019 X2 2.5816 0.7397 3.4898 0.0068 0.9082 4.2550 X3 0.6360 0.4603 1.3817 0.2004 -0.4053 1.6773 X4 1.1060 0.7648 1.4460 0.1821 -0.6242 2.8362
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