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From noon until sunset, bees emerge from a beehive according to a Poisson proces

ID: 3228335 • Letter: F

Question

From noon until sunset, bees emerge from a beehive according to a Poisson process with rate =2 per second.
Find the probability that bees 1 and 2 emerge less than 0.2 seconds apart while bees 3 and 4 emerge more than 0.2 seconds apart.  
Find the probability that bees 5 and 6 emerge less than 0.2 seconds apart while bees 7 and 10 emerge more than 0.2 seconds apart.  
Find the probability that the 2nd bee emerges less than 1.01 seconds after noon and the 4rd bee emerges more than 1.01 seconds after noon. (Hint: Are the events independent?)  

Explanation / Answer

probability that bees 1 and 2 emerge less than 0.2 seconds =1-e-t =1-e-2*0.2 =0.3297

a)probability that bees 3 and 4 emerge more then 0.2 seconds =e-t =e-2*0.2 =0.6703

hence probability that bees 1 and 2 emerge less than 0.2 seconds apart while bees 3 and 4 emerge more than 0.2 seconds apart =0.3297*0.6703 =0.220991

b)for above first process is exponential with P(X<=0.2)=0.3297

and second poceess is poisson witrh at most 2 bees in 0.2 second =P(X<=2)=0.9921

hence probability that bees 5 and 6 emerge less than 0.2 seconds apart while bees 7 and 10 emerge more than 0.2 seconds apart. =0.3297*0.9921=0.3271

c)here it is poisson process with at least 2 and at at most 3 bess in 1.01 second

P(2<=X<=3) =0.452877

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