1. The lifetimes of TVs produced by Company B are normally distributed with a me
ID: 3220786 • Letter: 1
Question
1. The lifetimes of TVs produced by Company B are normally distributed with a mean of 70 months and a standard deviation of 10 months.
a) If company B wants to replace only 1% of its TVs, what should the length of the warranty be?
b) Now a new manufacturing technology will reduce the standard deviation by a factor of 2. Assuming company B does not change its warranty policy from (a), what is the % of tvs needs to replace?
c) If replacing a tv costs $200, and this new technology costs $1M to implement, how many tvs company B should sell so that the cost savings (replacing fewer tvs) will equal the cost of implementation of the new technology?
Please let me know the type of distribution and explain why you take that approach to solve the problem so I can understand this further
Explanation / Answer
The lifetime of TVs are normaly distributed.
Mean = 70 months
sd = 10 months
a)
company wants to replace 1% of tv.
Finding the z value from the above percentiloe from the z table = z = -2.3263
z = (x - mean) / sd
-2.3263 = x - 70 / 10
x = 46.737
Therefore the length of the warrenty should be 46.737 months
b)
standard deviation reduced by a factor of 2.
New sd = 5
now the new z = (46.737 - 70 )/ 5
z = -4.6526
finding the percentile from z tabel from the above z value = 0.0002
Hence only 0.0002% of the TVs should be replaced
c)
replacing tv cost = $200
new technology cost = $1M
Let the number of tv sold = x
Before 1% of tv would be replaced.
Replaced tv = x/100
With new tech 0.0002% tv would be replaced
number of replaced tv = 0.000002x
Difference in tv replaced = (0.001-0.000002)x
Total cost saved = 200 * (0.000998) x = 1000000
therefore x = 5,010,020 number of TVs to be sold to recover cost of investment
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