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Questions 20 – 26 pertain to the table below which describes the smoking habits

ID: 3173015 • Letter: Q

Question

Questions 20 – 26 pertain to the table below which describes the smoking habits of a group of students.

Non Smoker
Occasional Smoker
Regular Smoker
Heavy Smoker
Total
Men
382
37
60
34
513
Women
403
31
74
37
545
Total
785
68
134
71
1058

24. If two people are randomly selected, what is the probability that they are both men who are heavy smokers? Assume the selections are made with replacement.
(a) 0.235 (b) 0.005 (c) 0.229 (d) 0.001

25. If two people are randomly selected, what is the probability of getting a woman who is a regular smoker and a man who is a non-smoker? Assume the selections are made with replacement.
(a) 0.025 (b) 0.101 (c) 0.269 (d) 0.614

26. If three people are randomly selected, what is the probability of getting at least one heavy smoker?
(a) .811 (b) .933 (c) .188 (d) .067 (e) .158

27. A student experiences difficulties with malfunctioning alarm clocks. Instead of using 1 alarm clock, he decides to use 3. What is the probability that at least 1 alarm clock works correctly if each individual alarm clock has a 90% chance of working correctly?
(a) 0.729 (b) 0.271 (c) 0.001 (d) 0.999

28. The sample space for tossing 3 coins consists of how many outcomes?
(a) 2 (b) 4 (c) 6 (d) 8 (e) 10

29. Which method of probability is used to estimate the likelihood that interest rates will rise in the next 6 months?
(a) Empirical (b) Subjective   (c) Classical        (d) relative Frequency

30. In a scientific study there are 8 guinea pigs, 5 of which are pregnant. If 3 are selected at random without replacement, find the probability that all are pregnant.
(a) 3/28 (b) 4/28 (c) 5/28 (d)7/28 (e) .159

31. In a statistics class of 30 students, there were 13 men and 17 women. Two of the men and three of the women received an A in the course. If a student is chosen at random from the class, find the probability that the student is a woman.
(a) .176 (b) .567 (c) .167 (d) .433 (e) .742

32. The probability P(E) for any event E is always between 0 and 1, inclusive.
(a) True (b) False

33. Whi4ch method of probability should be used to determine the likelihood of you retiring at age 50?
(a) Classical (b) Relative Frequency (c) Subjective

34. On an ACT or SAT test, a typical multiple-choice question has 5 possible answers. If you make a random guess on one such question what is the probability that your response is wrong?
(a) .20 (b) 0.25 (c) 0.80 (d) 0.75 (e) 0.50

35. Claudia has gotten A’s in 10 of her 30 college courses. Find the probability that Claudia gets a grade other than an A in a randomly chosen college course.
(a) .3000 (b) .3333 (c) .667 (d) unable to determine

Explanation / Answer

24)probability that two randomly selected persons are men and heavy smokers when selected with replacement = (probability of slected person being a man and heavy smoker)* (probability of slected person being a man and heavy smoker) = (34/1058)*(34/1058) = 0.001 (D)

25)probability of getting a woman who is a regular smoker and a man who is a non-smoker in two randomly selected men when selected with replacement =(probability of selected person being a woman who is a regular smoker)* (probability of selected person being a man who is a non-smoker)

= (74/1058)(382/1058) = 0.025 (A)

26)probability of getting at least one heavy smoker from three randomly selected persons = 1- probability of getting no heavy smoker from three randomly selected persons = 1- ((1058-71)/1058) ((1058-71)/1058) ((1058-71)/1058) = 0.188 (C)

27)probability that at least 1 alarm clock works correctly = 1- probability that none of the alarm clocks work correctly

= 1- (0.1)(0.1)(0.1) = 1-0.001 = 0.999 (D)

28)

Possible outcome are {HHH,HHT,HTH,HTT,THH,THT,TTH,TTT}

where H stands for Head and T stands for Tails

Total no of possible outcomes are 8 (C)

29 )In subjective probability, a person or group makes an educated guess at the chance that an event will occur. This guess is based on the person’s experience and evaluation of a solution. Therefore as here we are estimating interest rates , it is subjective probability. OPTION B

30) probability that all are pregnant = no of ways of selecting 3 pregnant pigs from the 5/ total number possible selection of three pigs from 8

= 5C3/8C3 = 5/28 OPTION C

31)probability that the student is a woman = number of women / total number of students

= 17/30 = 0.5666 ~ 0.567 OPTION B

32) By the Axioms of Probability is true OPTION A

33)In subjective probability, a person or group makes an educated guess at the chance that an event will occur. This guess is based on the person’s experience and evaluation of a solution. Therefore as here we are estimating the retirement age , it is subjective probability. OPTION C

34)probability that your response is wrong = number of wrong answers / total number of answers

= 4/5 = 0.80 OPTION C

35)probability that Claudia gets a grade other than an A in a randomly chosen college course

= 1 - probability of  Claudia gets a grade A in a randomly chosen college course

= 1 - 10/30 = 0.667 OPTION C

Men Women Non Smoker 382 403 785 Occasional Smoker 37 31 68 Regular Smoker 60 74 134 Heavy Smoker 34 37 71 Total. 513 545 1058