You draw marbles from a jar without replacement. What is the probability of even
ID: 3155853 • Letter: Y
Question
You draw marbles from a jar without replacement. What is the probability of events A and B occurring?
A jar has 6 red marbles out of a total of 20 marbles the same size. A: getting a red marble in the first drawing from the jar. B: getting a marble that is not red in the second drawing from the jar.
Correct Answer: 22.1 <----- How?
You draw marbles from a jar without replacement. What is the probability of events A and B occurring?
A jar has 6 red marbles out of a total of 20 marbles the same size. A: getting a red marble in the first drawing from the jar. B: getting a marble that is not red in the second drawing from the jar.
Correct Answer: 22.1 <----- How?
Explanation / Answer
You draw marbles from a jar without replacement. What is the probability of events A and B occurring?
A jar has 6 red marbles out of a total of 20 marbles the same size.
A: getting a red marble in the first drawing from the jar.
B: getting a marble that is not red in the second drawing from the jar.
There are 6 red out of 20 marbles.
Hence,
P(A) = 6/20
Note that by Bayes' Rule,
P(A n B) = P(A) P(B|A)
If a red marble is drawn first, then 14 nonred remain out of 19. Hence, P(B|A) = 14/19, so
= (6/20)*(14/19)
= 0.221052632 [ANSWER]
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