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A viral infection is spread by contact with an infected person. Suppose that an

ID: 3155378 • Letter: A

Question

A viral infection is spread by contact with an infected person. Suppose that an infected person has contact with 15 healthy people, let X denote the number of people (out of those 15) who are infected By "infected" we mean that the person develop symptoms of the infection. Circle the name for the Probability distribution of the random variable X. Chi-Squared Normal Binomial Gaussian Construct a table for the probability distribution in [a], if the infection rate is 25%. What values of X are consistent with an infection rate of 25% or lower. Explain. What values of X suggest that the infection rate is higher than 25%? Explain.

Explanation / Answer

Answer part a

Binomial

Answer part b

The probability distribution table is given as below:

Here, n = 15 and p = 0.25 or 25%

X

P(X)

0

0.01336346

1

0.06681731

2

0.15590705

3

0.22519907

4

0.22519907

5

0.16514598

6

0.09174777

7

0.03932047

8

0.01310682

9

0.00339807

10

0.00067961

11

0.00010297

12

0.00001144

13

0.00000088

14

0.00000004

15

0.00000000

Total

1.00000000

Answer part c

The values of x called to be consistent for which the probability is at least 0.05. The consistent and inconsistent values of X are summarised in the following table:

X

P(X)

Consistency

0

0.01336346

Inconsistent

1

0.06681731

Consistent

2

0.15590705

Consistent

3

0.22519907

Consistent

4

0.22519907

Consistent

5

0.16514598

Consistent

6

0.09174777

Consistent

7

0.03932047

Inconsistent

8

0.01310682

Inconsistent

9

0.00339807

Inconsistent

10

0.00067961

Inconsistent

11

0.00010297

Inconsistent

12

0.00001144

Inconsistent

13

0.00000088

Inconsistent

14

0.00000004

Inconsistent

15

0.00000000

Inconsistent

Total

1.00000000

Answer part d

There are no any values of x which suggest more than 25% infection rate.

X

P(X)

0

0.01336346

1

0.06681731

2

0.15590705

3

0.22519907

4

0.22519907

5

0.16514598

6

0.09174777

7

0.03932047

8

0.01310682

9

0.00339807

10

0.00067961

11

0.00010297

12

0.00001144

13

0.00000088

14

0.00000004

15

0.00000000

Total

1.00000000

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