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We are interested in looking at probabilities related to the weather in Chicago

ID: 3130566 • Letter: W

Question

We are interested in looking at probabilities related to the weather in Chicago in January of 2016. During this month, there were 16 days that had a high temperature above freezing, 12 days it either snowed or rained, and 7 days it was both above freezing and rained or snowed.

a. What percentage of days did it neither snow/rain NOR hit above freezing?

            b. Are H and D mutually exclusive events? Why or why not?

            c. Are the two events, H and D, independent? Explain, using probabilities.

d. If we know that it hit above freezing, what is the probability it also rained or snowed?

View comments (1) Please answer c and d.

Explanation / Answer

(a)

Number of days that are either freezing or snow/rain : 16+12 - 7 = 21

So number of days that has neither snow/rain NOR hit above freezing is 21 / 30 = 0.7 or 70%

(b)

No becuase there are some days that are both freezing and rained or snowed.

(c)

Here we have

P(H) = 16/ 30

P(D) = 12/30

P(H and D) = 7 / 30

Since P(H and D) are not equal to P(H)P(D) so events H and D are not independent.

(d)

P(D |H) = P(H and D) / P(H) = 7 / 16 = 0.4375

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