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The chart below includes information on the Quantity demanded of an item, its pr

ID: 3053687 • Letter: T

Question

The chart below includes information on the Quantity demanded of an item, its price, and consumer’s income for several years. Use this infomraiton to answer the questions that follow.

Fit a multiple regression model to predict the quantity demanded from the price and consumer income. Is the regression significant? Explain. (5 points)

Which variables are most important as predictors of quantity demanded? Explain. (5 points)

Predict the quantity demanded for a price of 86 and income of 1770. (5 points)

Compute the VIFs and examine the t statistics for checking the significance of the individual predictor variables. Is multicollinearity a problem? Explain. (5 points)

Year

Quantity Demanded

Price

Income

2000

40

9

400

2001

45

8

500

2002

50

9

600

2003

55

8

700

2004

60

7

800

2005

70

6

900

2006

65

6

1000

2007

65

8

1100

2008

75

5

1200

2009

75

5

1300

2010

80

5

1400

2011

100

3

1500

2012

90

4

1600

2013

95

3

1700

2014

85

4

1800

Year

Quantity Demanded

Price

Income

2000

40

9

400

2001

45

8

500

2002

50

9

600

2003

55

8

700

2004

60

7

800

2005

70

6

900

2006

65

6

1000

2007

65

8

1100

2008

75

5

1200

2009

75

5

1300

2010

80

5

1400

2011

100

3

1500

2012

90

4

1600

2013

95

3

1700

2014

85

4

1800

Explanation / Answer

Fit a multiple regression model to predict the quantity demanded from the price and consumer income. Is the regression significant? Explain. (5 points)

Quantity Demanded = 82.275 - 5.106 * Price + 0.017 * Income

The regression is significant because the p-value of the F-test is in the order of 10^-8.

Which variables are most important as predictors of quantity demanded? Explain. (5 points)

The Price is most important as predictor of quantity demanded because it has a p-value of 0.0036 and hence the null hypothesis of its coefficient being zero can be rejected.

Predict the quantity demanded for a price of 8.6 and income of 1770. (5 points)

Quantity Demanded

= 82.275 - 5.106 * Price + 0.017 * Income

= 82.275 - 5.106 * 8.6 + 0.017 * 1770

= 68

Compute the VIFs and examine the t statistics for checking the significance of the individual predictor variables. Is multicollinearity a problem? Explain. (5 points)

VIF(Price) = 1/(1-R^2) = 1/(1-0.843) = 6.366

VIF(Income) = 1/(1-R^2) = 1/(1-0.843) = 6.366

Since, VIFs are less than 10, there is no problem of multicollinearity.

SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.975009838 R Square 0.950644183 Adjusted R Square 0.942418214 Standard Error 4.349681563 Observations 15 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression 2 4372.963244 2186.481622 115.5662188 1.44554E-08 Residual 12 227.0367563 18.9197297 Total 14 4600 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Intercept 82.27548314 15.43345969 5.33098118 0.000179064 48.64886316 115.9021031 Price -5.106100796 1.416826869 -3.603898901 0.003619916 -8.193101355 -2.019100237 Income 0.016691929 0.006558634 2.545031305 0.025699462 0.002401893 0.030981965
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