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Question 7 (2 points) Quarterly billing for water usage is shown below. quarter

ID: 2930909 • Letter: Q

Question

Question 7 (2 points) Quarterly billing for water usage is shown below. quarter year 1 year 2 year 3 year 4 606468 72 99 103 107 111 154 158162166 69 737781 with dummy variables to develop an additive decomposition forecasting model for these data. Model the trend component using the time periods, numbersd 1 16 1:3 (use quarter 4 as the baseline). Model the seasonality using dummy variebles for guarten ata into E Hints: Copy-and-paste d quarter 1 quarter 2, and quarter 3. Fll in the blanke below with the coefficients that you estimate from the cata. x period + Save Gaite Subrait Quiz

Explanation / Answer

Period

Year

Quarter

Billing

Q1

Q2

Q3

Period

1

1

1

60

1

0

0

1

2

1

2

99

0

1

0

2

3

1

3

154

0

0

1

3

4

1

4

69

0

0

0

4

5

2

1

64

1

0

0

5

6

2

2

103

0

1

0

6

7

2

3

158

0

0

1

7

8

2

4

73

0

0

0

8

9

3

1

68

1

0

0

9

10

3

2

107

0

1

0

10

11

3

3

162

0

0

1

11

12

3

4

77

0

0

0

12

13

4

1

72

1

0

0

13

14

4

2

111

0

1

0

14

15

4

3

166

0

0

1

15

16

4

4

81

0

0

0

16

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

1

R Square

1

Adjusted R Square

1

Standard Error

6.61339E-15

Observations

16

ANOVA

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

4

21908

5477

1.25226E+32

4.9195E-174

Residual

11

4.81107E-28

4.3737E-29

Total

15

21908

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 95%

Upper 95%

Intercept

65

4.96004E-15

1.31047E+16

6.4171E-173

65

65

Q1

-6

4.8061E-15

-1.24841E+15

1.0942E-161

-6

-6

Q2

32

4.73447E-15

6.75894E+15

9.3407E-170

32

32

Q3

86

4.69097E-15

1.83331E+16

1.5975E-174

86

86

Period

1

3.697E-16

2.7049E+15

2.2151E-165

1

1

Predicted Billing=65+1*Period-6*Q1+32*Q2+86*Q3

Period

Year

Quarter

Billing

Q1

Q2

Q3

Period

1

1

1

60

1

0

0

1

2

1

2

99

0

1

0

2

3

1

3

154

0

0

1

3

4

1

4

69

0

0

0

4

5

2

1

64

1

0

0

5

6

2

2

103

0

1

0

6

7

2

3

158

0

0

1

7

8

2

4

73

0

0

0

8

9

3

1

68

1

0

0

9

10

3

2

107

0

1

0

10

11

3

3

162

0

0

1

11

12

3

4

77

0

0

0

12

13

4

1

72

1

0

0

13

14

4

2

111

0

1

0

14

15

4

3

166

0

0

1

15

16

4

4

81

0

0

0

16

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