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Suppose the following facts apply: Spot currency rate ($/ = $1.28); Forward exch

ID: 2723170 • Letter: S

Question

Suppose the following facts apply: Spot currency rate ($/ = $1.28); Forward exchange rate for 1 year delivery = $1.25; US 1-year interest rate: rUS = 4%; Euro 1-year interest rate: rE = 7%; Amount to invest = $5,000,000. You reside in the United States but wish to invest your $5 million in the 1-year European bonds.  In order to execute a covered interest arbitrage, you sell 1-year euro futures. What is your rate of return on your overseas investments - after converting your investment proceeds back to USD?

4.045%

4.492%

7.125%

None of the above

Explanation / Answer

Dollar value of investment = $5,000,000

Spot exchange rate = $1.28

Value of investment in EURO = $5,000,000 / $1.28

                                                 = 3,906,250 euro

Total Euro of investment = 3,906,250 euro

Interest rate in Europe = 7%

Value of investment after one year = 3,906,250 × (1 + 7%)

                                                         = 4,179,687.50

Forward exchange rate = $1.25

Value of investment after one year in term of Dollar = 4,179,687.50 × $1.25

                                                                                     = $5,224,609.375

Total Return = ($5,224,609.375 / $5,000,000) – 1

                    = 1.04492 -1

                    = 4.492%

Total return from Investment is 4.492%

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