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We are evaluating a project that costs $670,000, has a five-year life, and has n

ID: 2710727 • Letter: W

Question

We are evaluating a project that costs $670,000, has a five-year life, and has no salvage value. Assume that depreciation is straight-line to zero over the life of the project. Sales are projected at 59,000 units per year. Price per unit is $44, variable cost per unit is $24, and fixed costs are $760,000 per year. The tax rate is 35 percent, and we require a 18 percent return on this project. Suppose the projections given for price, quantity, variable costs, and fixed costs are all accurate to within ±10 percent.

  

Calculate the best-case and worst-case NPV figures. (Negative amount should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations and round your final answers to 2 decimal places. (e.g., 32.16))

  

Calculate the best-case and worst-case NPV figures. (Negative amount should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations and round your final answers to 2 decimal places. (e.g., 32.16))

Explanation / Answer

Selling Price                        =                             44          

Variable Cost                     =                             24

Contribution per unit     =                             20

Total Contribution for 59,000 units                           =             20 X 59,000

                                                                                                =             1,180,000

Less: Fixed Cost                                                                                =             (760,000)            

Less: Depreciation per annum (670,000/5)            =             (134,000)

Profit before Tax (PBT)                                                  =             286,000

Less: Tax @35%                                                                =             100,100

Profit after Tax                                                                 =             185,900

Add: Depreciation                                                           =             134,000

Expected annual cash flow                                          =             319,900

Base Case NPV

Period

Particulars

Amount

Discount Factor (@18%)

Present Value

0

Initial Cash Outflow

-670,000

1.000

-670,000

1

Cash Inflow

319,900

0.847

271,101.69

2

Cash Inflow

319,900

0.718

229,747.20

3

Cash Inflow

319,900

0.609

194,701.02

4

Cash Inflow

319,900

0.516

165,000.86

5

Cash Inflow

319,900

0.437

139,831.24

Total

330,382.01

Best Case NPV (assuming all costs and quantity to be up by 10%)

Contribution per unit                     =             20*110%             =             22

No. of units                                        =             59000*110%       =             64,900

Total Contribution                          =             64,900*22            =             1,427,800

Less: Fixed Cost                                                =             760,000*110%   =            836,000

Less: Depreciation                           =             670,000/5            =             134,000

Profit before Tax (PBT)                                                                  =             457,800

Less: Tax @35%                                                                                =             160,230

Profit after Tax                                                                                 =             297,570

Add: Depreciation                                                                           =             134,000

Expected annual cash flow                                                          =             431,570

Period

Particulars

Amount

Discount Factor (@18%)

Present Value

0

Initial Cash Outflow

-670,000

1.000

-670,000

1

Cash Inflow

431,570

0.847

365,737.29

2

Cash Inflow

431,570

0.718

309,946.85

3

Cash Inflow

431,570

0.609

262,666.83

4

Cash Inflow

431,570

0.516

222,599.00

5

Cash Inflow

431,570

0.437

188,643.22

Total Net Present Value

679,593.20

Worst Case NPV (assuming all costs and quantity to be down by 10%)

Contribution per unit                     =             20*90%               =             18

No. of units                                        =             59000*90%         =             53,100

Total Contribution                          =             53,100*18            =             955,800

Less: Fixed Cost                                                =             760,000*90%      =            684,000

Less: Depreciation                           =             670,000/5            =             134,000

Profit before Tax (PBT)                                                                  =             137,800

Less: Tax @35%                                                                                =             48,230  

Profit after Tax                                                                                 =             89,570

Add: Depreciation                                                                           =             134,000

Expected annual cash flow                                                          =             223,570

Period

Particulars

Amount

Discount Factor (@18%)

Present Value

0

Initial Cash Outflow

-670,000

1.000

-670,000

1

Cash Inflow

223,570

0.847

189,466.10

2

Cash Inflow

223,570

0.718

160,564.49

3

Cash Inflow

223,570

0.609

136,071.60

4

Cash Inflow

223,570

0.516

115,314.92

5

Cash Inflow

223,570

0.437

97,724.51

Total Net Present Value

29,141.63

Best Case NPV = $ 679,573.20

Worst case NPV = $ 29,141.63

Period

Particulars

Amount

Discount Factor (@18%)

Present Value

0

Initial Cash Outflow

-670,000

1.000

-670,000

1

Cash Inflow

319,900

0.847

271,101.69

2

Cash Inflow

319,900

0.718

229,747.20

3

Cash Inflow

319,900

0.609

194,701.02

4

Cash Inflow

319,900

0.516

165,000.86

5

Cash Inflow

319,900

0.437

139,831.24

Total

330,382.01

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