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The following table shows total retail sales for the city of Taxylvania for the

ID: 2644665 • Letter: T

Question

The following table shows total retail sales for the city of Taxylvania for the last 11 years. The city is considering implementing a 1% retail sales tax in 2016. Estimate collections from a 1% retail sales tax for each of the next 3 years (2016 - 2018). Note, the data provided in the chart is total retail sales. We are forecasting a tax that is equal to 1% of all retail sales.

Year                   Total Retail Sales

2005                        40,826,702

2006                        42,045,324

2007                        43,414,770

2008                        44,748,197

2009                  45,960,890

2010                47,382,130

2011                        48,897,359

2012             50,161,860

2013             51,728,282

2014                 53,256,193

2015                       54,417,181

2016                             ???

2017                             ???

2018                   ???

What is the estimate for 2018 sales tax revenues? ____________

Explanation / Answer

Step1: Computation of Gross sale and 1% sales tax for 2016.We have,

The expected gross sale is calculated by applying 3-years moving average.

Expected gross sale for 2016 = (51,728,282 + 53,256,193 + 54,417,181)/3 = $ 53,133,885

Hence, The expected gross sale for 2016 = $ 53,133,885

Sale tax revenue = 1% of $ 53,133,885 = $ 531,338.85

Hence, The expected sale tax revenue is $ 531,338.85

Step2: Computaiton of expected gross sale for 2017.We have,

3-year moving average = (53,256,193 + 54,417,181 + 53,133,885) /3 = $ 53,602,420

Hence, The expected gross sale for 2017 is $ 53,602,420.

Step3: Computation of Gross sale and 1% sales tax for 2018.We have,

   3-year moving average= ( 54,417,181 + 53,133,885 + 53,602,420)/3 = $ 53,717,829

Hence, The expected gross sale for 2018 is $ 53,717,829.

1% sales tax revenue = $ 53,717,829 x 1% = $ 537,178.29

Hence, estimate for 2018 sales tax revenues is $ 537,178.29.

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