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Kevin after graduating has started working in a Turkish company as a project man

ID: 2602998 • Letter: K

Question

Kevin after graduating has started working in a Turkish company as a project manager. After making the initial contacts he has found out that there is a possibility for establishing a high-tech project in Tunisia. The estimated cash flow of this project in Tunisian Dinar is shown in the following table. The Turkish company that Kevin is working for requires a 10% rate of return in Turkish Liras. Should Kevin approve the project based on a present worth analysis in Turkish Liras, if the devaluation of the Tunisian Dinar relative to the Turkish Lira is estimated to be 12% per year and the present exchange rate is 1 TL = 0.62 Tunisian Dinar?

End of Year

Cash Flow (in Tunisian Dinars)

0

-3.600.000

1

450.000

2

1.500.000

3

1.500.000

4

1.500.000

5

1.500.000

6

1.500.000

7

1.500.000

End of Year

Cash Flow (in Tunisian Dinars)

0

-3.600.000

1

450.000

2

1.500.000

3

1.500.000

4

1.500.000

5

1.500.000

6

1.500.000

7

1.500.000

Explanation / Answer

End of Year Cash Flow (in Tunisian Dinars) Conversion Factor Cash Flow (in Turkish Lira) x PVF at 10% PV 0           (3,600,000) ÷ 0.62     (5,806,451.61) x 1 (5,806,451.61) 1                450,000 ÷ 0.62(1.12)^1           648,041.47 x 0.909091         589,128.61 2             1,500,000 ÷ 0.62(1.12)^2       1,928,694.87 x 0.826446      1,593,962.70 3             1,500,000 ÷ 0.62(1.12)^3       1,722,048.99 x 0.751315      1,293,800.89 4             1,500,000 ÷ 0.62(1.12)^4       1,537,543.74 x 0.683013      1,050,163.06 5             1,500,000 ÷ 0.62(1.12)^5       1,372,806.91 x 0.620921         852,405.08 6             1,500,000 ÷ 0.62(1.12)^6       1,225,720.45 x 0.564474         691,887.24 7             1,500,000 ÷ 0.62(1.12)^7       1,094,393.26 x 0.513158         561,596.79 NPV = Sum Total 0 to 7 = TL         826,492.76 Yes, it has positive NPV of TL826,492.76, kevin should approve the project.