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Based on value line and number below i have too determine the time period of the

ID: 2419538 • Letter: B

Question

Based on value line and number below i have too determine the time period of the detailed forcast for which good estimates are possible , and of the simplified forcast for the more distant future. NIKE (NKE)corporation 2010-20141) Historical(2010-2014) 2)Near future(2015-2019) and TRansition stage(2020-2024)

It has to work on1) ROE- 2b(ploback)3) g(growth rate)

Historicla

Year

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

ROE

0.196

0.217

0.214

0.222

0.249

b

0.144

0.160

0.155

0.158

0.175

g

2.82%

3.47%

3.32%

3.50%

4.35%

Near Future

Year

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

ROE

0.258

0.255

0.305

0.355

0.310

b

0.220

0.220

0.220

0.220

0.220

g

5.68%

5.61%

6.71%

7.81%

6.82%

Transition Stage

Year

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

ROE

0.291

0.272

0.253

0.234

0.215

b

0.216

0.211

0.207

0.202

0.198

g

6.27%

5.74%

5.22%

4.73%

4.25%

Year

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

ROE

0.196

0.217

0.214

0.222

0.249

b

0.144

0.160

0.155

0.158

0.175

g

2.82%

3.47%

3.32%

3.50%

4.35%

Explanation / Answer

As per the histocal Data available, Company's return/ Earnings are growing every year and the Plowback Ratio is also growing with respect to the same.

Fundamantaly, it is stated that higher the plowback ratio, higher will be the growth of the company.

In the near future, plowback ratio should go higher every year in order to achieve maximum growth for the company.

At the Transition level, dividend payout ratio should be higher means that more dividends should be paid to inventors rather than to retain the profits, as this will maximise the stock price of the Company.

1) Historical Phase Year ROE Plowback Growth =ROE *Plowback Growth 2010 0.196 0.144 0.028224 2.82% 2011 0.217 0.16 0.03472 3.47% 2012 0.214 0.155 0.03317 3.32% 2013 0.222 0.158 0.035076 3.50% 2014 0.249 0.175 0.043575 4.35% 2) Near Future Year ROE Plowback Growth =ROE *Plowback Growth 2015 0.258 0.22 0.05676 5.68% 2016 0.255 0.22 0.0561 5.61% 2017 0.305 0.22 0.0671 6.71% 2018 0.355 0.22 0.0781 7.81% 2019 0.31 0.22 0.0682 6.82% 3) Transitional Phase Year ROE Plowback Growth =ROE *Plowback Growth 2020 0.291 0.216 0.062856 6.27% 2021 0.272 0.211 0.057392 5.74% 2022 0.253 0.207 0.052371 5.22% 2023 0.234 0.202 0.047268 4.73% 2024 0.215 0.198 0.04257 4.25%
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