Approximately 14 million Americans are addicted to drugs and alcohol. The federa
ID: 1216253 • Letter: A
Question
Approximately 14 million Americans are addicted to drugs and alcohol. The federal government estimates that these addicts cost the U.S. economy $300 billion in medical expenses and lost productivity. Despite the enormous potential market, many biotech companies have shied away from funding research and development (R&D) initiatives to find a cure for drug and alcohol addiction. Your firm – Drug Abuse Sciences (DAS) – is a notable exception. It has spent $280 million to date working on a cure, but is now at a crossroads. It can either abandon its program or invest another $75 million today. Unfortunately, the firm’s opportunity cost of funds is 8 percent and it will take another five years before final approval from the Federal Drug Administration is achieved and the product is actually sold. Expected (year-end) profits from selling the drug are presented in the accompanying table.
Explanation / Answer
Compare the net present value of the cost and benefits. Here the time period for the cost is 9 years
Net present value of profits/benefits will be
= $15,400,000(P/F, 8%, 5) + $17,500,000(P/F, 8%, 6) + $19,100,000(P/F, 8%, 7) + $22,700,000(P/F, 8%, 8) + $25,900,000(P/F, 8%, 9)
= $15,400,000*0.6806 + $17,500,000*0.6302 +$19,100,000*0.5835 + $22,700,000*0.5403 + $25,900,000*0.5002
= $57,874,580 or $57.8 million
And the Net present value of cost is $75 million . Since cost> benefits, DAS should abandon the project
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