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As the manager of Smith Construction, you need to make a decision on the number

ID: 1209475 • Letter: A

Question

As the manager of Smith Construction, you need to make a decision on the number of homes to build in a new residential area where you are the only builder. Unfortunately, you must build the homes before you learn how strong demand is for homes in this large neighborhood. There is a 60 percent chance of low demand and a 40 percent chance of high demand. The corresponding (inverse) demand functions for these two scenarios are P = 300,000 – 400Q and P = 500,000 – 275Q, respectively. Your cost function is C(Q) = 140,000 + 240,000Q.

How many new homes should you build, and what profits can you expect?

Number of homes you should build:

Number of homes you should build:

Profits you can expect:

Explanation / Answer

Low demand curve: P = 300,000 – 400Q (probability 60%)

High demand curve: P = 500,000 – 275Q (probability 40%)

Total demand curve:

0.6(300,000 – 400Q) + 0.4(500,000 – 275Q) = 180,000-240Q+200,000-110Q = 380,000-350Q

Derive MR from the demand equation = 380,000-700Q

Total cost: 140,000+240,000Q

Derive MC from the total cost equation = 240,000

Being a monopolist, set MR=MC to find profit-maximizing output and prices.

That is, 380,000-700Q = 240,000

Upon solving, Q* = 200; P* = $310,000

Profits = PQ-TC = (310,000)(200) – (140,000+240,000(200)) = $13860000