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1)Use the following information to estimate a travel cost model. The travel cost

ID: 1169232 • Letter: 1

Question

1)Use the following information to estimate a travel cost model. The travel cost regression equation is shown at the bottom of the tables. Let the visitation fee be $20. Calculate the number of visitors. Show your work.

This table gives the visitation rates from, and population in, each zone.

Zone

Total Visits/Year

Zone Population

Visits/1000

0

400

1000

400

1

500

2000

250

2

600

4000

150

3

600

8000

75

Beyond 3

0

Total Visits

2100

This table gives the travel costs. Assume that travel time is worth $10.00 per hour. Assume that the estimated visitation regression is:

Visits/1,000 = 374 - 3.899*Travel Cost

Zone

Round Trip
Travel Distance

(miles)

Round Trip
Travel Time

(minutes)

Distance times Cost/Mile ($.30)

Travel Time times Cost/Minute ($?)

Total Travel Cost/Trip

Total Travel Cost/Trip

+$20 fee

Visits/

1,000

Total

visits

0

0

0

0

0

1

40

60

2

80

120

3

160

240

What are the steps

Zone

Total Visits/Year

Zone Population

Visits/1000

0

400

1000

400

1

500

2000

250

2

600

4000

150

3

600

8000

75

Beyond 3

0

Total Visits

2100

Explanation / Answer

Distance time cost per mile = $0.3

Miles in round trip for Zone 1 = 40, Zone 2 = 80, and Zone 3 = 120

Total travel cost per trip for Zone 1 = 40 x 0.3 = $12, Zone 2 = 80 x 0.3 = $24 & Zone 3 = 120 x 0.3 = $36

Total travel cost per trip + Visiting fees ($20) for

Zone 0 = $0 + $20 = $20

Zone 1 = $12 + $20 = $32

Zone 2 = $24 + $20 = $44

Zone 3 = $36 + $20 = $56

We now substitute the travel cost in the regression equation of 374 – 3.899 x Travel cost and we get the values as

Zone 0 visits per 1000 = 296

Zone 1 visits per 1000 = 249

Zone 2 visits per 1000 = 202

Zone 3 visits per 1000 = 156

Total visits for

Zone 0 = 296 x 1000 / 1000 = 296

Zone 1 = 249 x 2000 / 1000 = 498

Zone 2 = 202 x 4000 / 1000 = 810

Zone 3 = 156 x 8000 / 1000 = 1245

Zone Round trip in miles Round trip in minutes Distance time cost/mile Travel time cost/mile Total travel cost/trip Total travel cost/trip + $20 Visits/1000 Population Total visits 0 0 0 0 0 $0 $20 296 1000 296 1 40 60 0.3 0.2 $12 $32 249 2000 498 2 80 120 0.3 0.2 $24 $44 202 4000 810 3 120 240 0.3 0.15 $36 $56 156 8000 1245