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The operations manager of the Electric Sheep Division of Block C Enterprises has

ID: 1128320 • Letter: T

Question

The operations manager of the Electric Sheep Division of Block C Enterprises has compiled data for the capacity expansion of their factory. Based upon four different economic state for the next two years, a decision must be made either to increase capacity or do nothing. A payoff table has been created as follows that shows the expected profits in thousands of dollars Economic Expanding Stable No State Recession Growth 40 10 -40 Large Medium 40 Small 70 45 20 -10 35 35 30 25 30 30 30 40 Do Nothing Using the MINIMAX REGRET criterion, determine the NUMERICAL VALUE, in thousands of dollars, used to make the capacity decision.

Explanation / Answer

In step 1, a regret table will be prepared. To prepare the regret table, under each economic state, highest payoff is identified and then, payoff of each investment alternative is subtracted from the maximum payoff.

Economic State

Expanding

Stable

No Growth

Recession

Large

0

5

20

80

Medium

30

0

10

50

Small

35

10

0

15

Do Nothing

40

15

0

0

In step 2, the regret table will be prepared. It will be prepared by the selection of the maximum regret under the each investment alternative.

Economic State

Maximum Regret

Large

80

Medium

50

Small

35

Do Nothing

40

In final step 3, the minimum regret will be selected and it is $35000 with small investment alternative that will give the minimum regret among all the alternatives. So, small capacity expansion plan should be selected.

Economic State

Expanding

Stable

No Growth

Recession

Large

0

5

20

80

Medium

30

0

10

50

Small

35

10

0

15

Do Nothing

40

15

0

0

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