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Enter only numbers into your answer. Round to two decimal places after completin

ID: 78873 • Letter: E

Question

Enter only numbers into your answer. Round to two decimal places after completing mathematical operations. Express your answer as a percent with two decimal places, but do NOT place a % sign after your answer.

St. Broncoville Regional Medical Center is evaluating whether to replace annual the current HIV blood test which is sent out to the reference laboratory with a new HIV rapid test which can be done in house. Approximately 5.5% of the 40,000 Broncoville population is HIV positive. The new HIV rapid test is 98% sensitive and 96% specific. Develop a 2 x 2 table.

1. Calculate the Positive Predictive Value (PPV) for the new rapid HIV test.

2. Calculate the Negative Predictive Value (NPV) for the new rapid HIV test.

Explanation / Answer

Answer:

Condition(HIV)-->

Test

Condition positive

Condition negative

Total

Test Positive

TP- 220

FP-1658

1878

Test Negative

FN-4

TN- 39780

39784

Total

224

39780

True positive(TP) as per the data 5.5% of 40000= 220

Rest will be true negative=40000-220=39780

Sensitivity-TP/TP+FN=98

So TP+FN=220*100/98=224

So FN=224-220=4

Specificity= TN/FP+TN=96

So FP+TN=39780*100/96=41438

So FP=41438-39780=1658

Positive predictive value for new rapid HIV test

= TP / (TP + FP)
= 220/1878*100= 11.71

Negative predictive value for new rapid HIV test

= TN / (FN + TN)
= 39780/ 39784*100 99.98

Condition(HIV)-->

Test

Condition positive

Condition negative

Total

Test Positive

TP- 220

FP-1658

1878

Test Negative

FN-4

TN- 39780

39784

Total

224

39780