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1. Asmizon Productions forecasts the following demand for a product (in thousand

ID: 445104 • Letter: 1

Question

1. Asmizon Productions forecasts the following demand for a product (in thousands of units) over the next five years.

Year

1

2

3

4

5

Forecast demand

55

53

58

61

59

The operations manager currently has eleven machines that run on a two shifts (6 hours each) basis. Fifteen days each year are available for scheduled maintenance of all the equipment. During the scheduled maintenance time, there is no process output. The production facility assumes that there are 255 workdays in a year. Each completed good takes 45 minutes to produce.

* At what capacity levels (percentage of normal capacity) would the production company be operating over the next five years based upon the above forecasted demand? (Hint: compute the ratio of demand to capacity each year)

*   Does the firm need to buy more machines? If so, how many? When? If not, justify.

Year

1

2

3

4

5

Forecast demand

55

53

58

61

59

Explanation / Answer

Since Firm is straining the system by running it beyond the installed capacity, It should buy more machines.

It should 4 machines in Year 1 and 1 more machine in Year 3 begning.

Working shown below.

At Year 3

A Number of Machines                         11 B Number of Shifts                           2 C Number of hours per shift                           6 D = A*B*C Total Hours per day                       132 E Total Work days per year                       255 F Maintenance Days                         15 G = E-F Total Production days                       240 H = D*G Total Production Hours                   31,680 I Time per completed unit (Hours)                      0.75 Total Installed Capacity (Units)                   42,240 Years Forecast Demand Capacity Capacity Levels to operate 1                   55,000     42,240 130% 2                   53,000     42,240 125% 3                   58,000     42,240 137% 4                   61,000     42,240 144% 5                   59,000     42,240 140%