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Actual sales for a t-shirt shop are shown below for the last 6 weeks. Use a 3-pe

ID: 397738 • Letter: A

Question

Actual sales for a t-shirt shop are shown below for the last 6 weeks.

Use a 3-period weighted moving average, with weights of 0.70, 0.20, and 0.10, to develop a forecast for periods 4 through 6. Also compute the absolute error for weeks 4 through 6. Finally, calculate mean absolute deviation (MAD). Round all answers to whole numbers. If the value for a cell is zero, do not leave it blank, enter 0.

Mean absolute deviation for this forecast =

Week Actual Sales Forecast |Error| 1 1400 2 1400 3 1400 4 1100 5 1200 6 800

Explanation / Answer

Following may be noted :

Based on above, please refer below table for ready reference :

Week

Actual sales

Forecast

Absolute error

1

1400

2

1400

3

1400

4

1100

1400

300

5

1200

1190

10

6

800

1200

400

Sum =

710

Mean absolute Deviation for this forecast = 710 /3 = 236.67 ( rounded to 2 decimal places )

MEAN ABSOLUTE DEVIATION FOR THIS FORECAST =236.67

Week

Actual sales

Forecast

Absolute error

1

1400

2

1400

3

1400

4

1100

1400

300

5

1200

1190

10

6

800

1200

400

Sum =

710

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