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Although most of us buy milk by the quart or gallon, farmers measure daily produ

ID: 3442878 • Letter: A

Question

Although most of us buy milk by the quart or gallon, farmers measure daily production in pounds. Ayrshire cows average 55 pounds of milk a day, with a standard deviation of 6 pounds. For Jersey cows, the mean daily production is 52 pounds, with a standard deviation of 5 pounds. Assume that Normal models describe milk production for these breeds.

a) we select an Ayrshire at random. What's the probability that she averages more than 58 pounds of milk a day?

b) What's the probability that a randomly selected ayrshire gives more milke than a randomly selected jersey?

c) a farmer has 20 jerseys. whats the probability that the average production for this small herd exceeds 54 pounds of milk a day, assuming they can be treated as a random sample of all jersey cows?

d) a neighboring farmer has 10 ayrshires. what's the probability that his herd average is at least 5 pounds higher than the average for part c's jersey herd?

Explanation / Answer

a)
Ayrshire Jersey
Mean ( u ) = 55
Standard Deviation ( sd )=6
Normal Distribution = Z= X- u / sd ~ N(0,1)  
P(X > 58) = (58-55)/6
= 3/6 = 0.5
= P ( Z >0.5) From Standard Normal Table
= 0.3085                  
b)
Jersey Milk production is 52 pounds
P(X > 52) = (52-55)/6
= -3/6 = -0.5
= P ( Z >-0.5) From Standard Normal Table
= 0.6915                  
c)
Normal Distribution
Mean ( u ) = 52
Standard Deviation ( sd )=5
Number ( n ) = 20
Normal Distribution = Z= X- u / (sd/Sqrt(n) ~ N(0,1)                  
P(X > 54) = (54-52)/5/ Sqrt ( 20 )
= 2/1.118= 1.7889
= P ( Z >1.7889) From Standard Normal Table
= 0.0368

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