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According to Kemeny, Snell, and Thompson, the Land of Oz is blessed by many thin

ID: 3384297 • Letter: A

Question

According to Kemeny, Snell, and Thompson, the Land of Oz is blessed by many things, but not by good weather. They never have two nice days in a row. If they have a nice day, they are just as likely to have snow as rain the next day. If they have snow or rain, they have an even chance of having the same the next day. If there is change from snow or rain, only half of the time is this a change to a nice day. Describe the process by a Markov chain (Hint: define random variable; declare state space; determine transition probability matrix).

Explanation / Answer

P(0) = ( 0.5 , 0.5 )

Nice Rainy Nice 0 1 Rainy 0.5 0.5
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