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1. You have the following data on consumption and income (in $10,000s). Make a s

ID: 3365278 • Letter: 1

Question

1. You have the following data on consumption and income (in $10,000s). Make a scatterplot.

Income

9

11

5

8

2

9

12

Consumption

7

7

2

7

2

8

9

1B) Draw your best guess for a line of best fit in your scatterplot above.

A- Guess the slope.

B- Guess the intercept.

C- Do consumption and income appear to have a high, moderate, or low correlation?

1C) Now you will estimate the slope and intercept. Fill in the table to start.

Income ()

Cons ()

9

7

1

1

1

1

11

7

3

1

3

9

5

2

-3

-4

12

9

8

7

0

1

0

0

2

2

-6

-4

24

36

9

8

12

9

1D) Calculate the slope and interpret it.

1E)Calculate the intercept. Does the intercept make sense economically?

1F) If a person’s income is $40,000, how much do you predict that they will spend on consumption?

1G) The R-squared, or coefficient of determination, from this regression is 0.844. Interpret the R-squared.

Income

9

11

5

8

2

9

12

Consumption

7

7

2

7

2

8

9

Explanation / Answer

consumption ^ = 0 + 0.75* income     {intercept is 0)

1c) high correlation

1d) slope = 0.75 , which mean when income increase by 1 unit, consumption increase by 0.75 units

1e) intercept = 0 , when income =0 , consumption on average = intercept = 0

1f)

income = 40000

hence consumption = 0.75*40000 = 30000

1g) R^2 = 0.844

it means 84.4 % of variation in consumption is eplained by this model

SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.918558654 R Square 0.84375 Adjusted R Square 0.8125 Standard Error 1.224744871 Observations 7 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression 1 40.5 40.5 27 0.003478 Residual 5 7.5 1.5 Total 6 48 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Intercept 0 1.244033379 0 1 -3.19789 income 0.75 0.144337567 5.196152423 0.003478165 0.378968