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please show the process of how to fill out the table and answer questions Is bei

ID: 3365026 • Letter: P

Question

please show the process of how to fill out the table and answer questions

Is being in A independent of being in B? Ex: In a Jury trial, suppose the probability the defendant is convicted given guilt is 95% and the probability the defendant is acquitted given innocence is 97%. Suppose that 80% of all defendants are truly guilty. Draw a tree diagram. What is the probability a defendant is acquitted of a crime? a) 0.97 b) 0.198 c0.766 d) 0.234 e) 0.80 Answer: What is the probability that a defendant is convicted of a crime? Answer: What is the probability that a defendant is cither guilty or convicted of a crime? a) 0.80 b) 0.766 c) 0.806 d) 0.76 c) 0.198 Answer Given that the defendant is convicted, find the probability be or she was actually innocent Answer

Explanation / Answer

1) probability that defendent is acquitted of a crime =P(guilty and acquitted +not guilty and acquitted)

=0.8*0.05+0.2*0.97 =0.234

therefore option D is correct

2) probability that defendent is convicted =1-P(acquitted) =1-0.234 =0.766

option B is correct

3)given defendent convicted probability of innocent =P(innocent and convicted)/P(convicted)

=0.2*0.03/0.766=0.0078 ~ 0.008