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The proportion of adult women in the United States is approximately 51%. A marke

ID: 3360772 • Letter: T

Question

The proportion of adult women in the United States is approximately 51%. A marketing survey telephones 500 people at random. 1. (a) (3pts) What is the sampling distribution of the observed proportion that are women? State your answer with the mean and the standard deviation. (b) (3pts) would you be surprised to find 56% wom en in a sample of size 500? Explain. (c) (2pts) what is the probability that more than 53% women in this survey? (d) (2pts) What is the probability that there were fewer than 180 women in the sample? (e) (2pts) What is the probability that there were between 225 and 300 women in the sample? Human gestation times have a mean of about 266 days with a standard deviation of about 16 days. Suppose we look from many random samples of 200 women. (a) (2pts) f we made the histogram of all these sample means, what shape would it have? 2. at the mean gestation times for many samples of 200 women. Image all the possible values of the sample mean (b) (2pts) What is the probability that a sample of 200 women has a mean gestation time of 250 days or less? (c) (2pts) What is the probability that a sample of 200 women has a mean gestation time of 270 days or more? (d) (3pts) What is the number of days in the gestation time for a sample of 100 women if you want to know the 20 percentile?

Explanation / Answer

1)

a) proportion of women 'p' follows normal distribution with

mean = np = 500 * 0.51 = 255

standard deviation = sqrt(npq) = sqrt(500 * 0.51 0.49) = 11.178

b) 56% of 500 = 280

using binomial distribution

p [x = 280] = 500c280 0.51280 0.49220 = 0.0002

given event has very less chance

c) 53% of 500 = 265

using normal apporximation to the binomial

p [X > 265] = p [Z > 265 - 255/11.178] = p [Z > 0.895] = 0.1854

d) p [x < 180] = p [Z < 180 - 255/11.178] = p [Z < -6.71] = 0.0000[unusual event]

e) p[225 < x < 300] = p [225- 255/11.178 < Z < 300-255/11.178] = p[-2.684 < Z < 4.026] = 0.9963