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A study was undertaken to determine if the amount of daily caffeine had an influ

ID: 3360070 • Letter: A

Question

A study was undertaken to determine if the amount of daily caffeine had an influenced on the probability of a miscarriage in pregnant women. The amount of caffeine ingested in a day was broken down into none, some but < 200 mg, and > 200 mg. We will focus on the number and proportion for women who consumed more than 200 mg of caffeine a day. The data are shown below.

Miscarriage

Caffeine

Yes

No

Row Total

None

32

232

264

< 200 mg

99

536

635

> 200 mg

41

123

164

Column Total

172

891

1063

If the proportion of women who consumed more than 200 mg of caffeine a day who had a miscarriage is .25 (41/164), what is the standard error for a 95% Confidence Interval for this estimated proportion.

Miscarriage

Caffeine

Yes

No

Row Total

None

32

232

264

< 200 mg

99

536

635

> 200 mg

41

123

164

Column Total

172

891

1063

Explanation / Answer

p= 0.25

standard error

= sqrt( p * (1-p)/n)

= sqrt( 0.25 * 0.75 /164)

= 0.034

hence choose B

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