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Please show all detailed steps in solution. The binary model system is mathemati

ID: 3352895 • Letter: P

Question

Please show all detailed steps in solution. The binary model system is mathematically identical to the random-walk problem in one dimension. The random walk can be visualized as follows. A drunk starts from a lamp post and takes steps of length ` to the left or to the right at random with equal probability, using the curb as a guide, so that all his steps fall on a line. What is the probability that after N steps, he will (a) be back at the lamp post, or (b) be at a distance n` from it? Assume that N and n are even. Give approximate values of the two probabilities for N = 60, n = 20.

Explanation / Answer

a) P(at 0) = 30 steps to the left and 30 steps to the right = 60C30 * (1/2)^30*(1/2)^30 = 0.10257

b)P(at distance = 20 on either side) = P(40 steps to right and 20 steps left) +P(40 steps to left and 20 steps right)= 2 * P(40 steps to right and 20 steps left)=2*60C40 *(1/2)^60= 2* 60!/(40!*20!)*1/2^60=0.0072

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