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The president of a small manufacturing firm is concerned about the continual inc

ID: 3332297 • Letter: T

Question

The president of a small manufacturing firm is concerned about the continual increase in manufacturing costs over the past several years. The following figures provide a time series of the cost per unit for the firm's leading product over the past eight years.

Click on the datafile logo to reference the data.

Year

Cost/Unit ($)

Year

Cost/Unit ($)

1

20.00

5

26.60

2

24.50

6

30.00

3

28.20

7

31.00

4

27.50

8

36.00

(b)

Use simple linear regression analysis to find the parameters for the line that minimizes MSE for this time series.

If required, round your answers to two decimal places.

y-intercept, b0 =

Slope, b1 =

MSE =

(c)

What is the average cost increase that the firm has been realizing per year?

Round your interim computations and final answer to two decimal places.

$

(d)

Compute an estimate of the cost/unit for next year.

If required, round your answer to two decimal places.

Year

Cost/Unit ($)

Year

Cost/Unit ($)

1

20.00

5

26.60

2

24.50

6

30.00

3

28.20

7

31.00

4

27.50

8

36.00

Explanation / Answer

Using regression analysis tool we have below results,

(B)

b0 = 19.99

b1 = 1.7738

(c)

the average cost increase that the firm has been realizing per year = $1.77

(D)

for next year

y = 19.99 + 1.77*9 = $35.92

SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.921878 R Square 0.849859 Adjusted R Square 0.824835 Standard Error 1.97257 Observations 8 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression 1 132.1488 132.1488 33.96241 0.001123 Residual 6 23.34619 3.891032 Total 7 155.495 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept 19.99286 1.537014 13.0076 1.27E-05 16.23192 23.75379 16.23192 23.75379 X Variable 1 1.77381 0.304374 5.827728 0.001123 1.029033 2.518586 1.029033 2.518586
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