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A Product Manager at company X, is evaluating alternatives for introducing a new

ID: 3316776 • Letter: A

Question

A Product Manager at company X, is evaluating alternatives for introducing a new package for toothpaste. She has identified four alternative markets, and has constructed the following table which shows X's rewards (in $1,000,000's) for various levels of acceptance by the markets and their probabilities.

Market Acceptance

Market

Low (.3)

Medium (.4)

High (.3)

Northeast Only

-0.7

0

1

Southeast Only

-0.2

0.2

0.8

National

-1.5

-0.2

2

None (don't introduce the new package)

0

0

0

If she uses the EMV criterion, the appropriate choice would be: ________.

a) Northeast Only

b) Southeast Only

c) National

d) None (don't introduce the new package)

Market Acceptance

Market

Low (.3)

Medium (.4)

High (.3)

Northeast Only

-0.7

0

1

Southeast Only

-0.2

0.2

0.8

National

-1.5

-0.2

2

None (don't introduce the new package)

0

0

0

Explanation / Answer

A Product Manager at company X, is evaluating alternatives for introducing a new package for toothpaste. By looking at markets and and market acceptance (Low, Medium and high) values, for Sountheast only market -0.2, 0.2 and 0.8 are market acceptance probabilities is more than any other markets.

So the option b is correct.

If she uses the EMV criterion, the appropriate choice would be: ________.

b) Southeast Only

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