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Problem 2 (40 points total) Atlanta temperatures. According to weather.com HYPER

ID: 3313620 • Letter: P

Question

Problem 2 (40 points total) Atlanta temperatures. According to weather.com

HYPERLINK "https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/USGA0028:1:US"https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/USGA0028:1:US

the maximum temperatures in the next 10 days will be:

63, 69, 67, 68, 64, 65, 65, 67, 64, 54

a. (20 points) Construct a 95% confidence interval for the maximum daily temperatures at the beginning of December in Atlanta.

b. (10 points) Suppose you want to reduce the width of the 95% confidence interval to half the size obtained in part a. How many more data points are required in the sample in order to obtain the desired confidence interval width? Is this possible?

c. (10 points) According to historical data HYPERLINK "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlanta#Climate"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlanta#Climate, the mean maximum temperature in December in Atlanta is 70.8 F. Based on the current data, are we experiencing a cold spell, that is, is the temperature on the next 10 days significantly lower than the historical average? Draw the appropriate conclusions.

Explanation / Answer

a)

b)

95% CI width = 2ME = 4.9335

Required width = 4.9335/2 = 2.46675

i.e. ME = 2.46675/2 = 1.2334

Hence 30 more data points are required

CI for 95% n 10 mean 64.6 z-value of 95% CI 1.9600 std. dev. 3.979949748 SE = std.dev./sqrt(n) 1.25857 ME = z*SE 2.46675 Lower Limit = Mean - ME 62.13325 Upper Limit = Mean + ME 67.06675 95% CI (62.1332 , 67.0668 )
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