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A study was performed to evaluate whether zidovudine (AZT) administered to HIV-i

ID: 3269653 • Letter: A

Question

A study was performed to evaluate whether zidovudine (AZT) administered to HIV-infected pregnant women and their newborns could reduce the rate of transmission from mother to infant. The final study population consisted of 363 live births. The mothers of 180 were randomly assigned to the AZT arm of the study and 13 of the infants developed HIV infections. The mothers of 183 were randomly assigned to receive a placebo and 40 of those infants developed HIV.

What type of study is this? : Randomized controlled trial

Construct a 2 X 2 table for these data.

HIV

No HIV

Total

AZT

13

167

180

Placebo

40

143

183

             Total

53

310

363

c. (4 pts) Calculate the appropriate measure of association between the AZT administration to pregnant women and transmission of HIV to their babies and state what this means.

A study was performed to determine the risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) in individuals with hypertension. 1,387 men between the ages of 40 to 59 with no previous CHD, were categorized as normal (no hypertension), borderline hypertension or definite hypertension. These men were followed for six years and the incidence of new CHD was recorded. There were 556 men with normal blood pressure and of those, 23 developed CHD. There were 532 men with borderline hypertension and of those, 38 developed CHD. There were 299 with definite hypertension and of those, 37 developed CHD.

a. What type of study is this?

b. Construct a 2 X 3 table for these data

c. Calculate the appropriate measure of association between borderline hypertension and CHD and between definite hypertension and CHD. Use the risk seen in the normal (no hypertension) group as your reference and compare the remaining two groups to the normal group.

d. Interpret one of the numbers you calculated in part c.

HIV

No HIV

Total

AZT

13

167

180

Placebo

40

143

183

             Total

53

310

363

Explanation / Answer

Solution

AZT - HIV-infection

Part (a)

Type of study: Randomized Controlled Trial

Part (b)

2 X 2 table for the given data.

HIV

No HIV

Total

AZT

13

167

180

Placebo

40

143

183

             Total

53

310

363

Part (c)

Test of Association

Back-up Theory

Suppose we have a contingency table consisting of r rows and c columns, i.e., (r x c) cells, each row representing a particular level of one attribute and each column representing a particular level of another attribute. Let oij be the observed frequency in the cell at ith row-jth column and eij be the corresponding expected frequency.

H0: The two attributes are independent.   vs   H1: H0 is false.

Test Statistic

2 = (i = 1 to r, j = 1 to c){(oij - eij)2/eij}. [This can also be simplified as 2 = (i = 1 to r, j = 1 to c)(o2ij/eij) – n, where n = total frequency = (i = 1 to r, j = 1 to c)(oij) which is also equal to (i = 1 to r, j = 1 to c)(eij).]

Under H0, 2 is distributed as Chi-square distribution with degrees of freedom = (r - 1)(c - 1).

Under H0, eij = (oi. . o.j)/n where oi. = (j = 1 to c)(oij) = sum of all observed frequencies in the ith row and o.j = (i = 1 to r)(oij) = sum of all observed frequencies in the jth column.

Decision Criterion

Reject H0 if 2cal > 2(r - 1)(c - 1), . i.e. reject H0 if 2cal > 2crit (i.e., calculated value of 2 is greater than the upper % point of Chi-square distribution with degrees of freedom = (r - 1)(c - 1), which can be read off from standard table).

Now, to work out the solution,

In the given problem, the two attributes are: (AZT) administer and HIV-infection

r = 2, c = 2. Hence, degrees of freedom = 1 x 1 = 1

From the calculations shown below, 2cal = 15.60.

Using Excel Function, 2crit = 21,0.05 = 3.84

Since 2cal > 2crit, H0 is rejected at 5% level of significance implying that the two attributes in the given problem are not independent.

Conclusion

There is enough evidence to suggest that HIV infection is associated with AZT administration.

Excel Calculations

OIJ (given)

Oi1

Oi2

Oi.

O1j

13

167

180

O2j

40

143

183

O.j

53

310

363

Eij

Ei1

Ei2

Total

E1j

26.28099

153.719

180

E2j

26.71901

156.281

183

Total

53

310

363

CHECK: respective row totals, column totals and grand total of both Oij and Eij must be equal.

(Oij - Eij)^2/Eij

1

2

1

6.711495

1.147449

7.86

2

6.60147

1.128638

7.73

13.31297

2.276088

15.6

Hypertension and Risk of CHD

Part (a)

Type of study: Randomized Controlled Trial

Part (b)

2 X 3 table for the given data.

Hypertension

Normal Blood Pressure

Borderline

Hypertension

Definite

Hypertension

Total

CHD

23

38

37

98

No CHD

533

494

262

1289

Total

556

532

299

1387

Following the very same steps asin the previous case,

In the given problem, the two attributes are: Hypertension and CHD

r = 2, c = 3. Hence, degrees of freedom = 1 x 2 = 2

From the calculations shown below, 2cal = 20.103.

Using Excel Function, 2crit = 22,0.05 = 5.991

Since 2cal > 2crit, H0 is rejected at 5% level of significance implying that the two attributes in the given problem are not independent.

Conclusion

There is enough evidence to suggest that CHD is associated with hypertension.

Excel Calculations

Oij

DF =

2

1

2

3

Oi.

1

23

38

37

98

2

533

494

262

1289

O.j

556

532

299

1387

Eij

1

2

3

Total

1

39.28479

37.58904

21.1

98

2

516.7152

494.411

278

1289

Total

556

532

299

1387

Chi-square

1

2

3

Total

1

6.75056

0.004493

11.9

18.68236

2

0.513231

0.000342

0.91

1.420381

Total

7.263791

0.004835

12.8

0

20.10275

HIV

No HIV

Total

AZT

13

167

180

Placebo

40

143

183

             Total

53

310

363

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