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In June 2005, a CBS News/NY Times poll asked a random sample of 1,111 U.S. adult

ID: 3269504 • Letter: I

Question

In June 2005, a CBS News/NY Times poll asked a random sample of 1,111 U.S. adults the following question: "What do you think is the most important problem facing this country today?" Roughly 19% of those sampled answered "the war in Iraq" (while the rest answered economy/jobs, terrorism, healthcare, etc.). Exactly a year prior to this poll, in June of 2004, it was estimated that roughly 1 out of every 4 U.S. adults believed (at that time) that the war in Iraq was the most important problem facing the country.

We would like to test whether the 2005 poll provides significant evidence that the proportion of U.S. adults who believe that the war in Iraq is the most important problem facing the U.S. has decreased since the prior poll.

The following output is available for this test:

Which of the following is the best conclusion based on the output?

A.) We have extremely strong evidence to reject H0.

B.) We have extremely strong evidence to reject Ha.

C.) We have moderately strong evidence to reject H0.

D.) There is a probability of 0 that H0 is correct.

E.) There is a probability of 0 that Ha is correct.

Test and CI for One proportion 95% Upper Samplex sample p Bound Z-Value P-Value 211 1111 0.189919 0.209275 -4.62 0.000

Explanation / Answer

Correct option:

A) We have extremely strong evidence to reject H0

EXPLANATION:

IN this case, we note P value is 0.001. Such an extremely low value indicates that the Null hypothesis H0 is to be rejected.

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