The ‘Berta Government (a small principality, East of Canaduh’s Continental Divid
ID: 3254666 • Letter: T
Question
The ‘Berta Government (a small principality, East of Canaduh’s Continental Divide) is evaluating which of two health programs to implement. The first program (1) reduces the number of instances of being struck by lighting by 60% (i.e., OR = 0.4). The second program (2) reduces the likelihood of being in a fatal car accident by 15% (OR = 0.85). The proponents of program 1 argue that their program should be implemented, because the reduction in risk for program 1 (60%) is four times as large as for program 2 (15%). The proponents of program 2 counter, arguing that their program is more important to implement. Who is correct about which program should be implemented, and why?
Explanation / Answer
for being struck by lightening is a rare phenomenon compare to being in a fatal car accident. Therefore even though prgram 2 reduces fatality by lower % compare to program 1 but its target fatrality has higher percentage of occurance and therefore has overall has overall higher fatality reduction rate.
therefore program 2 should be implemented
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