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2) Mammograms are routinely used for screening for breast cancer, and if they fi

ID: 3248825 • Letter: 2

Question

2) Mammograms are routinely used for screening for breast cancer, and if they find suspicious growths this will lead to an invasive biopsy. Given a woman has breast cancer, there is a90%o chance that the mammogram will detect suspicious growths. If the woman does not have breast cancer, there is an 8 %o chance that the mammogram will detect something suspicious that will result in an unnecessary invasive biopsy. Assume that one-in-twenty women who go for a mammogftrm in a given year really have breast cancer. a) What proportion of women will have an invasive biopy. b) What proportion of invasive biopsies were unnecessary?

Explanation / Answer

a)proportion of women will have an invasive biopy=0.05*0.9+0.95*0.08=0.1210

b) proportion of invasive biopsies were unnecessary =0.95*0.08/0.1210=0.6281

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